CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9f0d942d022cc686ad3f723a9cd33867564f6ec11a4bcdf07254a953ee8403a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof Aurora Gaming, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 18,317$14,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,139.98 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed HOTU | 2c | 13,721$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,473.4 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked HOTU | 29c | 12,284$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,686.75 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Aurora Gaming | 8c | 12,042$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU | 18c | 11,878$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,758.02 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…f543backed HOTU | 3c | 11,518$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,205.15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 10,000$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,280.21 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed HOTU | 21c | 9,288$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,329 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed HOTU | 63c | 8,604$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed HOTU | 20c | 7,818$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,281.93 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HOTU | 21c | 6,445$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,120.87 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Aurora Gaming | 0c | 5,382$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 5,223$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174.26 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e4…c347backed HOTU | 12c | 5,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,379.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +706.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 3,324$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.76 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked HOTU | 21c | 2,798$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.95 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed HOTU | 28c | 2,600$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed HOTU | 27c | 2,022$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.14 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked HOTU | 11c | 1,970$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.13 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 1,842$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.33 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked HOTU | 29c | 1,731$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.26 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.12 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU | 15c | 1,491$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.53 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 1,484$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed HOTU | 6c | 1,281$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.91 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed HOTU | 16c | 1,192$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.99 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed HOTU | 21c | 1,188$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.44 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed HOTU | 2c | 1,052$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.72 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…dffbbacked HOTU | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed HOTU | 53c | 881.23$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.13 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 797.01$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.68 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ef…6f22backed HOTU | 9c | 725$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +332.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed HOTU | 11c | 714.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.33 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed HOTU | 24c | 692.69$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.98 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 684.01$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.86 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed HOTU | 28c | 636$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.56 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 635.64$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.69 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed HOTU | 10c | 621.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.4 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed HOTU | 18c | 600$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…f8c6backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 595.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked HOTU | 69c | 574.2$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa34…acc6backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 561.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked HOTU | 28c | 554.48$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.23 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed HOTU | 48c | 552.84$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.79 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed HOTU | 13c | 529.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.57 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked HOTU | 28c | 500$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649e…894abacked HOTU | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 465.5$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.16 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked HOTU | 23c | 464.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.06 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 438.45$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…7a7fbacked HOTU | 9c | 409.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed HOTU | 16c | 337.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.57 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 251.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.43 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…6babbacked HOTU | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…51c8backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b7…b1eebacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked HOTU | 28c | 245.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.46 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 227.32$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.96 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked HOTU | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 197$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 194.33$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132c…7295backed HOTU | 19c | 182$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…fb93backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 179.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked HOTU | 27c | 170.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked HOTU | 28c | 166.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed HOTU | 23c | 164.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.21 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 154.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked HOTU | 59c | 153.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…4b85backed HOTU | 9c | 146.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +474.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked HOTU | 29c | 144.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…0fd6backed HOTU | 34c | 142.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 141.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 140$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…6d59backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57c…2329backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 122.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked HOTU | 31c | 120.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 119.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 116$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…2101backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 112$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 107$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…5f79backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 104.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…7ec6backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 100.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…6e1ebacked HOTU | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed HOTU | 29c | 88.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 84.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed HOTU | 23c | 84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 80.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…bd2abacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…c013backed HOTU | 24c | 64.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed HOTU | 29c | 61.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- HOTU to win 1 maps?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.