CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25e14cb05cdc866e417ae2812dc6f94866ca20de469593ff4de154558c4e3cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $540,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $518,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed HOTU | 19c | 40,563$7,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,779.3 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked HOTU | 32c | 20,974$6,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,683.34 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 16,888$12,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.62 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU | 12c | 15,969$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.57 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU | 8c | 15,243$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.98 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed HOTU | 13c | 14,816$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.38 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 14,135$7,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,269.13 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed HOTU | 34c | 13,851$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.27 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 12,506$8,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.14 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed HOTU | 28c | 11,759$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 10,459$7,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.1 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked HOTU | 14c | 10,420$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 10,154$6,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.07 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked HOTU | 18c | 10,029$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.03 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6971…d4a4backed HOTU | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed HOTU | 1c | 9,940$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed HOTU | 11c | 8,328$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.72 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 7,485$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.21 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed HOTU | 7c | 6,594$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.64 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…9f40backed HOTU | 24c | 5,922$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HOTU | 38c | 5,701$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.38 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked HOTU | 3c | 5,095$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked HOTU | 17c | 4,715$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.83 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed HOTU | 31c | 4,613$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.57 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed HOTU | 1c | 4,589$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked HOTU | 12c | 4,516$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 4,200$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed HOTU | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24c…69d5backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 3,696$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed HOTU | 11c | 3,400$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.65 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed HOTU | 25c | 3,298$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed HOTU | 5c | 3,171$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.47 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…4d84backed HOTU | 1c | 3,167$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed HOTU | 38c | 3,137$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.58 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 3,081$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.67 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked HOTU | 28c | 3,048$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.05 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed HOTU | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed HOTU | 28c | 3,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked HOTU | 30c | 2,647$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.61 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed HOTU | 30c | 2,592$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.27 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked HOTU | 48c | 2,501$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…f190backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 2,487$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked HOTU | 1c | 2,410$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 2,360$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.74 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…f01cbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 2,343$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 2,300$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked HOTU | 45c | 2,244$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…a514backed HOTU | 1c | 2,066$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c2…68b1backed HOTU | 18c | 1,940$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked HOTU | 29c | 1,825$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.45 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked HOTU | 26c | 1,812$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.34 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…f290backed HOTU | 38c | 1,787$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,757$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…91aabacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,628$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HOTU | 5c | 1,569$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed HOTU | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed HOTU | 16c | 1,330$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed HOTU | 26c | 1,298$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.5 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,279$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.38per pick | 59cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3755…4bedbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,276$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed HOTU | 26c | 1,221$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,200$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed HOTU | 34c | 1,123$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed HOTU | 4c | 1,039$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,024$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.66 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed HOTU | 36c | 1,016$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.89 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed HOTU | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,000$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.05 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 985.71$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.71 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed HOTU | 30c | 968.75$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked HOTU | 31c | 930.59$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.95 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 819.46$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 817.27$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…f543backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 805.94$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.57 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649e…894abacked HOTU | 53c | 800$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 738.62$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.87 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…aed7backed HOTU | 22c | 714$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed HOTU | 28c | 714$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked HOTU | 41c | 711.07$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.67 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…619cbacked HOTU | 28c | 706.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 703.85$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.62 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked HOTU | 32c | 700$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked HOTU | 39c | 650$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.65 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed HOTU | 32c | 646.69$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HOTU | 28c | 636.36$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 623.74$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.18 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked HOTU | 29c | 621.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…00e2backed HOTU | 16c | 617.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…7005backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 603$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…8b17backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 599.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 583.64$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked HOTU | 30c | 570.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed HOTU | 28c | 564.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked HOTU | 28c | 558$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed HOTU | 18c | 555.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed HOTU | 5c | 553.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed HOTU | 22c | 547.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- HOTU to win 1 maps?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.