CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe249f0c4ffcb62f8b029f07677f92e6d312cca21f850088b3a11892ad82e4055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed HOTU | 39c | 18,184$7,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,056.2 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU | 46c | 16,785$7,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,687.8 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 9,257$6,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.38 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HOTU | 37c | 8,117$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.42 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 6,199$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.81 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked HOTU | 47c | 4,111$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.47 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 3,621$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.06 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 3,577$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.35 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 3,533$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.2 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 3,135$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.9 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,348$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.28 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,348$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.21 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,324$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.54 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,246$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed HOTU | 35c | 1,024$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.22 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 931.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.2 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…7a1dbacked HOTU | 11c | 930.91$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 909.36$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.16 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 906.99$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.36 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU | 21c | 838.62$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 800$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.77 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed HOTU | 57c | 791.79$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf4…20c2backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 775.55$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed HOTU | 49c | 605.33$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.74 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked HOTU | 32c | 591.81$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.77 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…99b9backed HOTU | 35c | 559.34$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked HOTU | 39c | 514.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…dffbbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 490$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed HOTU | 6c | 472.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…7a7fbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 427.03$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed HOTU | 32c | 399.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…b1bebacked HOTU | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed HOTU | 56c | 358.55$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked HOTU | 36c | 354.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 335.5$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…b90bbacked HOTU | 38c | 333.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed HOTU | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked HOTU | 34c | 291.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 277.82$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 276$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked HOTU | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 251.94$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 246.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…4c34backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 241.59$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed HOTU | 42c | 239.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked HOTU | 24c | 211.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked HOTU | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed HOTU | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 194.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.12 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 172.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 155.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed HOTU | 35c | 143.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed HOTU | 41c | 125.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 123.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 123$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked HOTU | 36c | 109.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed HOTU | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed HOTU | 46c | 96.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce5…8fa2backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 96.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed HOTU | 37c | 91.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…cc8fbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 87.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…d351backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 85.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed HOTU | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked HOTU | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 75.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…ef89backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed HOTU | 32c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed HOTU | 45c | 68.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 68.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed HOTU | 36c | 67.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed HOTU | 40c | 63.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed HOTU | 37c | 56.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed HOTU | 40c | 53.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 52.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed HOTU | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed HOTU | 47c | 51.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed HOTU | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…dee4backed HOTU | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…5f79backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed HOTU | 40c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 41.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked HOTU | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked HOTU | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked HOTU | 33c | 38.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 152 | 41.4%63 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed HOTU | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 32.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42af…15f7backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…bd2abacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 32.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…c013backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 30.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- HOTU to win 1 maps?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.