CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0adf49b4376e36f20a541a16eeb9d61a8898091c4b795e7f658205687790d3a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Under | 9c | 23,108$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 7c | 7,272$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,798.41 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 17c | 6,533$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,445.84 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.99 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 14c | 1,804$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.61 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Under | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 59c | 1,505$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.64 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 72c | 1,386$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.83 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 2c | 1,166$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 28c | 1,043$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.06 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…f441backed Over | 60c | 698.32$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed Under | 58c | 667.26$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 28c | 665.8$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.37 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.5 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…4d84backed Under | 2c | 454.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 403.04$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 33c | 303.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…ad17backed Over | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Under | 72c | 293$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed Under | 42c | 290.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 6c | 231.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 54c | 175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 55c | 154.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed Over | 75c | 133.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Under | 72c | 126$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Under | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Under | 55c | 111.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Under | 55c | 101.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Over | 76c | 88.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 54c | 76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…abd4backed Over | 19c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…2ad3backed Over | 46c | 63.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Over | 37c | 50.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 40c | 48.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…2ab1backed Under | 58c | 47.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 46c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 53c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 66c | 44.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Over | 34c | 37.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 41c | 26.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 44c | 25.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- HOTU to win 1 maps?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.