TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No26c14,167$3,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,751.725,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c13,454$8,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,245.147,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No33c13,192$4,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,412.0966047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes32c8,498$2,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,769.7317146.8%80 W · 91 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes30c5,064$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,534.4213050%65 W · 65 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes67c4,393$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.572152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked No0c3,935$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed No1c3,610$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.94650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No35c3,441$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.492,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed No5c3,273$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.522065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde93…bef4backed Yes66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fb…3e17backed Yes66c3,017$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.474100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No58c2,728$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.152147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Yes48c2,700$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.992568%17 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c37…2994backed Yes54c2,050$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes67c2,019$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.2539637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed No55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No19c1,508$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.682,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…d84dbacked No1c1,382$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75019445.9%89 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c11…b0e6backed Yes32c1,016$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.63887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+82.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3808844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No33c991.37$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1547325.4%120 W · 353 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes66c980$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.23265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes68c856.9$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes52c852.06$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.2510323.3%24 W · 79 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes69c848.41$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.314262.7%89 W · 53 L+15.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No35c761.47$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8818143.6%79 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f59…3d18backed Yes54c738.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes42c704.99$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.591668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.063354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed Yes41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3541060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No20c555.76$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.946439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.565950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No54c543.26$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7985340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5cb…c61ebacked Yes56c535.28$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.271172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes65c530$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.58557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No35c513.59$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.767042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…625dbacked Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+106.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No60c491.18$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1483440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No39c480.52$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.286142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes34c456.41$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.233234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No33c423.74$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.81,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No53c413.97$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1847926.9%129 W · 350 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No30c407.71$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3163849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes63c400$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1497763.6%49 W · 28 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No31c358.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2742347.8%202 W · 221 L+1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes46c354.35$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3511548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…082bbacked Yes66c346.3$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes39c342.12$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.126731.3%21 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No34c316.78$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.631,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff20…08d2backed Yes46c305.57$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes41c304$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1793450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+51.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes30c299.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.994252.4%22 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511275%9 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No41c292.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3624242.1%102 W · 140 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88da…d50cbacked No57c287.7$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3b…3534backed Yes67c253.93$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.39862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes44c236.36$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.36875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30ce…a631backed Yes66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed No70c225.45$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.072650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.395644.6%25 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x035f…b2ccbacked Yes48c214.04$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.46955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No31c210.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1126853.7%144 W · 124 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes45c209.62$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6216725.7%43 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed No34c209$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.79955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes66c203.03$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.03933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6819954.3%108 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes73c197.5$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.228360.2%50 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes32c188.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.38450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No31c184.35$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.923237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes44c178.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.85955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc3…861abacked Yes62c174.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4131860.4%192 W · 126 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes60c166.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.46666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes68c150$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.41070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5112552%65 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No37c149.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4257019.8%113 W · 457 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Yes66c148.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.92466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes66c147.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.326457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes66c146.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9736647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed No43c144.19$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes66c143.66$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8449046.9%230 W · 260 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd969…342dbacked Yes67c139.39$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbee4…152cbacked Yes63c137$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes45c135$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.253138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed No73c126.9$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.565457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Yes44c126.36$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No48c118.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.471,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf675…dfbfbacked No13c114.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.74531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No34c106$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0423746.8%111 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes73c105.97$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.072576%19 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5972…b428backed Yes44c103.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed No37c102.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.22825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-62.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x656b…afbcbacked No62c101$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No35c100.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0667050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.