Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb55d78dfc01f534ad66e046e1447c4162f2a3dd8cc801b245bf3e06c4496e271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 48c | 5,980$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.41 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…9bdbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,667$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 19c | 2,537$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 51c | 2,140$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.36 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea98…8626backed Yes | 1c | 1,364$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 12c | 1,249$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes | 17c | 899.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 17c | 575.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 16c | 532.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 13c | 456$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 58c | 429$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.15 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 17c | 356.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 12c | 289.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 18c | 225$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 14c | 195.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 66c | 195.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 188.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes | 13c | 171.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 13c | 167.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…a81dbacked No | 70c | 158.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…fa5abacked Yes | 17c | 154.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 111.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2767…886abacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…08ebbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed No | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x656b…afbcbacked Yes | 17c | 75.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 18c | 70.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe017…1397backed No | 52c | 69.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed No | 73c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27a7…36dcbacked No | 70c | 34.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes | 49c | 20.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
- Will Vitória SC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.