Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f3d5e47d22625a40e26eb69c183bfcfe8bb98747564242216ffc442a5256fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 929.69$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.32 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 23c | 440.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 23c | 426.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 24c | 347.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 298.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 69c | 290.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…b2ccbacked Yes | 61c | 283.1$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 261.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 50c | 260.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.03 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 20c | 232.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…e25abacked Yes | 55c | 230.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd3…3a42backed Yes | 53c | 214.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 211.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 193.66$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…1cefbacked Yes | 53c | 179.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 53c | 177.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes | 23c | 171.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 166.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 159.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…bb08backed Yes | 57c | 149$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…4e38backed Yes | 45c | 131.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…2455backed Yes | 55c | 100.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed No | 78c | 82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…a568backed No | 50c | 69.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…f5cfbacked Yes | 59c | 68.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 59c | 67.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 49c | 62.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…ea3fbacked Yes | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3515…ae25backed Yes | 63c | 56.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked No | 78c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…baecbacked Yes | 23c | 50.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…f431backed Yes | 22c | 49.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 53c | 48.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d44…1a1ebacked Yes | 23c | 47.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…7da5backed Yes | 23c | 46.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…0dc5backed Yes | 23c | 45.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…891abacked Yes | 61c | 43.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 53c | 41.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 77c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b0…8bc6backed No | 46c | 33.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0604…8a8fbacked Yes | 55c | 29.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…39fdbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…31b3backed Yes | 60c | 25.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…5a18backed Yes | 55c | 23.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fc…9b30backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854c…a964backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…cba2backed No | 79c | 18.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…4c2ebacked No | 79c | 18.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 77c | 18.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…fd89backed No | 79c | 18.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a4…5e64backed No | 79c | 17.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…b3a8backed No | 79c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6049…3f83backed No | 79c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18a…fd7bbacked No | 79c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…c8b2backed No | 79c | 15.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…9339backed No | 79c | 14.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…db3ebacked No | 79c | 14.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…8e6dbacked No | 79c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…0708backed No | 79c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…39e4backed No | 79c | 13.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…acebbacked No | 79c | 13.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…f184backed No | 79c | 13.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa464…fbd2backed No | 79c | 13.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ce…04d5backed No | 79c | 13.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.