Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Sentinels vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7635b816958cb551c7dce3dc6d045536a820d4eeaf5715e03faa9e6eb6239ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof Sentinels, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Sentinels | 63c | 4,887$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.83 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FURIA Esports | 39c | 2,130$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.24 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Sentinels | 57c | 1,834$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.47 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FURIA Esports | 45c | 1,789$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.84 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked FURIA Esports | 77c | 1,622$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.9 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Sentinels | 60c | 1,305$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.66 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA Esports | 39c | 1,281$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.09 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked FURIA Esports | 32c | 952.1$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.1 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed FURIA Esports | 33c | 862.4$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.4 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Sentinels | 71c | 794.04$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.24 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Sentinels | 49c | 673.14$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.66 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Sentinels | 51c | 625.06$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.21 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Sentinels | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked FURIA Esports | 39c | 492.43$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.38 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…d868backed Sentinels | 70c | 485.44$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked FURIA Esports | 33c | 393.04$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.07 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed FURIA Esports | 38c | 368.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.16 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Sentinels | 65c | 310$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FURIA Esports | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Sentinels | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 199.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked FURIA Esports | 41c | 123.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked FURIA Esports | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed FURIA Esports | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked FURIA Esports | 58c | 108.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked FURIA Esports | 32c | 92.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked FURIA Esports | 65c | 88.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…6e1ebacked FURIA Esports | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed FURIA Esports | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…2d99backed FURIA Esports | 57c | 66.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked FURIA Esports | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Sentinels | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 43.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…7e2ebacked FURIA Esports | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…dae0backed FURIA Esports | 40c | 41.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Sentinels | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FURIA Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Sentinels vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.