La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89f50207c0faf6fda4f2c296a2073f8c9193e1a04edc896ebcd326f58233f317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 12c | 8,078$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…7952backed Yes | 14c | 4,046$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Yes | 12c | 3,234$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2ac1backed Yes | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,057$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed Yes | 18c | 1,050$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 17c | 984.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 14c | 982.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 22c | 946$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.12 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…f31cbacked Yes | 15c | 676.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 14c | 654.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 12c | 617$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 12c | 612.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 73c | 507.44$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe307…5644backed Yes | 7c | 500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 8c | 432.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…56d8backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c16…4d41backed Yes | 25c | 394.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3b…9083backed Yes | 13c | 347.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 13c | 346.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…6cabbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 34c | 290.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Yes | 30c | 286.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 286$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 12c | 261.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872b…bfbbbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7e…36e7backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e9…d7eebacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…21cdbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 8c | 198.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes | 12c | 191.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…3f6abacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 12c | 177.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…e212backed Yes | 13c | 172.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…b43cbacked Yes | 13c | 151.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 74c | 147.36$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 13c | 145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 8c | 141.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…ee63backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 12c | 125.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920c…25b6backed Yes | 13c | 125.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…d7e2backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…c65abacked Yes | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…04a9backed Yes | 13c | 119.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked Yes | 13c | 118.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…4871backed Yes | 29c | 109.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 17c | 102.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…8a88backed Yes | 13c | 100.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…6e1ebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8934…a13cbacked Yes | 14c | 91.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…fc32backed Yes | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…5726backed Yes | 25c | 76.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 26c | 67.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x543c…edabbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?Yes won
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.