TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,306,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,436,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,306,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca1…dd13backed Yes72c120,000$86,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,849.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No21c116,378$23,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,921.614,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No17c100,000$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,0001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No18c81,058$14,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,191.039536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No27c51,417$13,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,727.9310438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No0c36,834$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.811844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No20c34,574$7,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,024.931,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No19c29,277$5,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,538837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No18c26,348$4,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,727.947455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No18c24,999$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.747139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No21c22,956$4,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,775.7679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No18c22,140$4,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,085.157922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No20c19,855$3,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.7735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c18,679$3,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,309.433,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No17c18,440$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.562850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No6c16,943$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.666235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes74c13,654$10,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528.959541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Yes80c11,086$8,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.114100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No26c10,010$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.85242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No19c10,000$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.9613845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No19c8,050$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.439028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x488c…97bcbacked No22c6,418$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No28c6,215$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No18c6,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.992133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No9c5,409$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.394837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No6c4,939$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.36777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes80c4,845$3,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9742259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No20c4,780$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.989450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No19c4,068$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.7364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Yes79c3,827$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.462035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No19c3,722$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.6274457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No20c3,433$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.4553246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes80c3,250$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6503727%10 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No18c3,068$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.212218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No18c3,000$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5526431.3%20 W · 44 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No18c2,982$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.2755941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No11c2,885$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.42532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked No17c2,864$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.132035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes80c2,855$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.76862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No18c2,839$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.146145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No14c2,728$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.272,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No17c2,652$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.848041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No20c2,580$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.465918.6%11 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No10c2,577$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.743740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No18c2,570$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.659743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Yes80c2,400$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48013958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Yes80c2,273$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yes74c2,039$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.181040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No22c2,013$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.858334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed No19c1,884$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.631060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No8c1,786$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.594621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Yes67c1,562$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.911163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes75c1,521$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.351338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked No7c1,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2852142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes69c1,442$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No25c1,433$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.3721641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes71c1,417$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.718252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No19c1,416$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.0320159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…9c89backed Yes73c1,173$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No21c1,115$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304637%17 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b25…b5ccbacked Yes75c1,113$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.762055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No17c1,113$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4812744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc5…c33bbacked Yes78c1,112$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe161…a10bbacked No5c1,101$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.04130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e8…25debacked Yes80c1,049$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.811457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd004…0437backed Yes80c1,020$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No20c1,000$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19522335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes72c903.17$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.891442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No20c900$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804334.9%15 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb28d…83e4backed No20c823.86$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.77333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes73c802.79$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.285050%25 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No13c799.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed No24c770.39$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.614528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes72c763.89$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8911457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No18c756.38$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.199353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae49…6323backed Yes74c717.03$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Yes74c707.19$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.082236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No14c703.86$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.745752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes72c701.39$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.392552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a90…2827backed Yes72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+559.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed No18c678.79$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.182955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No20c666$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8720845.2%94 W · 114 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes71c661.97$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.035453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Yes76c657$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.682245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No8c644.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9919662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x55d5…69adbacked No19c630.12$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…7adfbacked No19c629.47$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No4c624$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.963941%16 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe307…5644backed Yes71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-71.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed No9c568.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.721050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No10c564$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.449057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No20c549.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.293145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No12c532.03$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8229946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No20c502$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.47156.3%40 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No20c459.44$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.921952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No19c451.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.354946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No18c443.03$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.930749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.