Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 132.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6db0bd9816109f70023b9c90ec5ba78ae6342c96e0787279fc6db873f14b073
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 60c | 435.5$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.47 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…6e1ebacked Under | 50c | 112.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 107.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 58c | 99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Over | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Over | 54c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Over | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Under | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Under | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 132.5this page
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green WaveNorth Texas Mean Green won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 133.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 134.5Under won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-0.5)North Texas Mean Green won
- Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-1.5)North Texas Mean Green won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.