Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4466dc952eaa167519a59c4f3c018b992d7a17ae27a1bbdacce216c114122315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texas Mean Greenof Tulane Green Wave, North Texas Mean Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed North Texas Mean Green | 53c | 375,077$198,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,478.57 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 325,078$152,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,786.77 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 19,088$8,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,971.58 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…baaebacked North Texas Mean Green | 52c | 8,999$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,364.15 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 6,500$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 4,512$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.02 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 4,264$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.92 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 2,475$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 2,131$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked North Texas Mean Green | 52c | 1,913$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.24 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 1,505$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed North Texas Mean Green | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 992.1$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.21 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Tulane Green Wave | 52c | 771.58$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Texas Mean Green | 50c | 482.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 386.18$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.37 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed North Texas Mean Green | 53c | 330.52$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.89 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 254.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Tulane Green Wave | 52c | 213.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed North Texas Mean Green | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed North Texas Mean Green | 49c | 130.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked North Texas Mean Green | 53c | 130.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Tulane Green Wave | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Tulane Green Wave | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 102.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Tulane Green Wave | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…eb4fbacked Tulane Green Wave | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 52c | 81.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Tulane Green Wave | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 75.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Tulane Green Wave | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Tulane Green Wave | 16c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 61.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Tulane Green Wave | 51c | 55.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 54.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed North Texas Mean Green | 55c | 50.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed North Texas Mean Green | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Tulane Green Wave | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed North Texas Mean Green | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 46.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…3fd8backed North Texas Mean Green | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Tulane Green Wave | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Tulane Green Wave | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Tulane Green Wave | 45c | 38.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Tulane Green Wave | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Tulane Green Wave | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked North Texas Mean Green | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed North Texas Mean Green | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed North Texas Mean Green | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Tulane Green Wave | 51c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 21.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed North Texas Mean Green | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 51c | 19.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-1.5)this page
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green WaveNorth Texas Mean Green won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 132.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 133.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 134.5Under won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-0.5)North Texas Mean Green won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.