TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Texas Mean Greenof North Texas Mean Green, Tulane Green Wave
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$473,379
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$508,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,379 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed North Texas Mean Green49c189,868$93,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,840.1235945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Tulane Green Wave46c179,250$81,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,611.1969142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed North Texas Mean Green49c60,925$29,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,071.754047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Tulane Green Wave51c41,347$21,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,191.9619950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked North Texas Mean Green47c24,079$11,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,761.647237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tulane Green Wave45c17,913$8,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,003.612,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Tulane Green Wave53c12,398$6,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5711330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Tulane Green Wave53c12,347$6,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,543.511,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Tulane Green Wave51c12,222$6,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,233.2213154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Tulane Green Wave52c6,165$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.8815556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Tulane Green Wave51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06028539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Tulane Green Wave53c5,473$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.442,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed North Texas Mean Green70c4,592$3,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.143,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Tulane Green Wave53c4,483$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3765044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Tulane Green Wave53c4,255$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Texas Mean Green47c4,010$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.5312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Tulane Green Wave32c3,923$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.892,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Tulane Green Wave37c3,744$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.3521149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed North Texas Mean Green47c3,410$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.521,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tulane Green Wave39c3,225$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.095,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed North Texas Mean Green63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.054035%14 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-39.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked North Texas Mean Green47c2,810$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.65160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Tulane Green Wave11c2,719$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.835520%11 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tulane Green Wave32c2,531$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.812,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tulane Green Wave36c2,496$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.953,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed North Texas Mean Green56c1,979$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.724444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Tulane Green Wave29c1,904$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.7549747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed North Texas Mean Green47c1,863$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.731752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Tulane Green Wave55c1,844$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.825556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb101…5024backed Tulane Green Wave41c1,818$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.241250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Tulane Green Wave52c1,758$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.891,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Tulane Green Wave39c1,649$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.4574152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Tulane Green Wave27c1,585$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.821,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Tulane Green Wave20c1,540$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3137250%36 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Tulane Green Wave52c1,481$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77027450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed North Texas Mean Green63c1,233$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.36825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed North Texas Mean Green47c1,193$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.457038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tulane Green Wave26c1,168$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.521,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Tulane Green Wave53c1,156$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.84757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+235.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Tulane Green Wave22c1,151$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.211,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Tulane Green Wave52c1,100$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57635243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed North Texas Mean Green48c1,078$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.6299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Tulane Green Wave54c1,057$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.2555749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Tulane Green Wave52c1,029$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.311526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Tulane Green Wave2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205024%12 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked North Texas Mean Green47c999.98$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.991844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf7…b626backed North Texas Mean Green47c946$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf825…c866backed Tulane Green Wave53c946$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d0…439dbacked Tulane Green Wave53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tulane Green Wave23c941$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.241,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked North Texas Mean Green64c928.02$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.494,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Texas Mean Green48c921.47$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.172,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Tulane Green Wave31c820.64$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4548051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0f…780bbacked Tulane Green Wave52c711.54$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Texas Mean Green46c688$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.522,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed North Texas Mean Green65c671.2$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2119057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Tulane Green Wave35c626.29$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Tulane Green Wave24c613.86$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.44833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed North Texas Mean Green65c574.62$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.729444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Tulane Green Wave27c553.23$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.462,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6495…39e5backed Tulane Green Wave39c508.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tulane Green Wave52c501.85$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6489146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed Tulane Green Wave50c478.86$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.435858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed North Texas Mean Green55c442.44$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.15831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Tulane Green Wave29c432.41$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.788930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tulane Green Wave30c388.14$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.23,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Tulane Green Wave52c382.7$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19913444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Tulane Green Wave33c376$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Tulane Green Wave52c340$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.86848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x656b…afbcbacked Tulane Green Wave31c321.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.071741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Tulane Green Wave32c303.84$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.217557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed North Texas Mean Green49c290$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.91936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Texas Mean Green67c284.22$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.531,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e2…1e0dbacked Tulane Green Wave18c271.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Tulane Green Wave23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.55139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+106.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Tulane Green Wave32c248.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2745644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Tulane Green Wave41c243.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9918844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Tulane Green Wave51c240.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6835050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed North Texas Mean Green64c218.13$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5221830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed North Texas Mean Green47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7750546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Tulane Green Wave44c211.24$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4618046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed North Texas Mean Green48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e87…8ef8backed Tulane Green Wave26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Tulane Green Wave52c190.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tulane Green Wave45c190.38$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.574447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed North Texas Mean Green72c186.78$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.553253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Tulane Green Wave54c184.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Tulane Green Wave44c178.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.679045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed North Texas Mean Green80c167.25$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.762227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Texas Mean Green69c160.06$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.155,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tulane Green Wave24c156.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.811,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x982e…7657backed Tulane Green Wave53c130$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.91850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Tulane Green Wave40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0343…5475backed Tulane Green Wave28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Tulane Green Wave53c108$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2429442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed Tulane Green Wave26c105.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Tulane Green Wave38c104.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8810447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Tulane Green Wave26c103.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Tulane Green Wave53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked North Texas Mean Green47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1410151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.