Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 133.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cf619c11e6f7c59c451f016334b1fa26926cbdb77a5d180907ae3d910e9eb1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb252…56febacked Over | 62c | 2,060$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Over | 59c | 1,106$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.79 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +6.9wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 32c | 1,039$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.58 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 70c | 586.87$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Under | 41c | 444.34$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 40c | 335.38$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 78c | 320.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 42c | 304.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 58c | 150.26$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 42c | 144$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Over | 55c | 134$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 116.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Under | 29c | 99.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 31c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 84.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over | 56c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Over | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 79c | 18.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 133.5this page
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green WaveNorth Texas Mean Green won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 132.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 134.5Under won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-0.5)North Texas Mean Green won
- Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-1.5)North Texas Mean Green won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.