NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x160c30c996d1ea7c45c132b26c09d4b065106d550af56487329e0b4eac09dd92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Thunder, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,560,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,595,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,560,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 942 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Heat | 21c | 115,600$24,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,067.95 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Heat | 21c | 105,990$22,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,731.8 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Heat | 22c | 100,913$22,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,661.06 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 78c | 82,664$64,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,478.06 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 79c | 79,195$62,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,708.18 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Heat | 21c | 49,999$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,499.47 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Heat | 21c | 40,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,599.79 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 31c | 39,268$12,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,213.36 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Thunder | 78c | 30,385$23,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,700 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 78c | 30,000$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,400 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 78c | 27,727$21,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,494.2 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 78c | 25,566$20,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,008.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Heat | 21c | 25,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,749.87 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Thunder | 77c | 23,760$18,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,333.16 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Heat | 33c | 23,122$7,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,396.94 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Thunder | 75c | 22,883$17,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,134.15 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 80c | 22,399$17,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,919.13 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 22c | 22,169$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,317.44 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b31…11a8backed Heat | 22c | 19,750$4,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,465 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Heat | 23c | 19,648$4,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,113.98 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 64c | 16,442$10,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,526.37 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Heat | 19c | 16,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,959.94 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 79c | 15,406$12,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,173.23 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Thunder | 77c | 14,874$11,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,438.45 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Heat | 24c | 14,839$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,338.93 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 69c | 14,834$10,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,248.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Heat | 27c | 14,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,546.57 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…9506backed Heat | 20c | 12,990$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,392 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Thunder | 73c | 12,513$9,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,119.38 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Thunder | 79c | 11,164$8,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,819.76 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Heat | 23c | 11,110$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,591.74 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Heat | 21c | 11,000$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,729.99 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Heat | 24c | 10,222$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,725.83 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 22c | 10,150$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,917 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Thunder | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Heat | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Heat | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Heat | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,899.97 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Thunder | 78c | 9,938$7,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,752 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 71c | 9,819$7,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,004.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Thunder | 78c | 9,500$7,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,385 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Thunder | 1c | 9,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Heat | 22c | 9,091$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,090.91 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Thunder | 77c | 8,757$6,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,752 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Thunder | 79c | 8,000$6,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,319.99 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 78c | 7,978$6,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.35 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Heat | 25c | 7,946$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.78 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 74c | 7,711$5,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,694.74 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Thunder | 76c | 7,650$5,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,814.22 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed Thunder | 75c | 7,432$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder | 80c | 7,227$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,778 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Heat | 24c | 7,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 19c | 6,559$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.75 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Heat | 25c | 6,441$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,847.47 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Heat | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,740 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Heat | 18c | 5,663$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.45 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 73c | 5,614$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.46 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 76c | 5,590$4,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,248.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Thunder | 79c | 5,371$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.25 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…22c7backed Thunder | 79c | 5,366$4,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…171abacked Thunder | 79c | 5,364$4,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +192.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 33c | 5,166$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.61 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Heat | 53c | 5,072$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.34 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Thunder | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 28c | 4,975$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 78c | 4,822$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.12 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Thunder | 80c | 4,688$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Thunder | 79c | 4,676$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691.4 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Thunder | 78c | 4,644$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.21 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb101…5024backed Thunder | 65c | 4,524$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 25c | 4,385$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284.07 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed Thunder | 79c | 4,276$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,378 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Heat | 68c | 4,272$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.51 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…2658backed Heat | 33c | 4,257$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.55 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Heat | 21c | 4,225$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.33 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 28c | 4,059$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.8 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Thunder | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Heat | 22c | 4,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.95 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Heat | 18c | 3,890$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Heat | 24c | 3,869$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.94 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Heat | 17c | 3,663$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.67 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Heat | 23c | 3,617$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.89 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Thunder | 79c | 3,576$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Thunder | 17c | 3,567$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.58 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Thunder | 79c | 3,530$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.5 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Heat | 20c | 3,419$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.36 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Heat | 24c | 3,191$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.69 | 334 | 28.1%94 W · 240 L | -20.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Heat | 22c | 3,182$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.82 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Heat | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e54…a908backed Heat | 20c | 3,113$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +235.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Heat | 21c | 3,045$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.55 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Heat | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Heat | 24c | 2,856$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.79 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…9ff6backed Thunder | 71c | 2,840$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.82 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Heat | 33c | 2,801$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.91 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Thunder | 78c | 2,685$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Thunder | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.96 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Heat | 29c | 2,487$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.08 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e7…c30dbacked Heat | 21c | 2,450$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Heat | 21c | 2,436$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.73 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Heatthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Heat won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Heat won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Heat won
- Thunder vs. Heat: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 18.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.