NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf19cebccabd48484be42c8b6b24df995afed90be271224cdf50eff0507ed800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Thunder, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $595,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $600,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $595,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 52c | 420,926$218,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218,709.31 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Heat | 48c | 324,121$155,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,783.98 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Thunder | 51c | 48,076$24,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,649.03 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Thunder | 52c | 31,358$16,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,306.27 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Heat | 48c | 28,000$13,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,560 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 48c | 18,150$8,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,472.03 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Heat | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Heat | 47c | 12,656$5,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,707.79 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 50c | 9,000$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Heat | 48c | 8,850$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Heat | 51c | 8,330$4,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.64 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Heat | 48c | 7,823$3,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.92 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 54c | 7,594$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.27 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 49c | 7,254$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.53 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 48c | 6,209$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Thunder | 51c | 5,244$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 51c | 4,493$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.43 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…7a59backed Heat | 51c | 4,424$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Heat | 49c | 4,286$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.71 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Heat | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Heat | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Heat | 49c | 4,061$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.22 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Heat | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Heat | 48c | 3,710$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.42 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,350$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Heat | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Heat | 49c | 2,493$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.14 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,253$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Heat | 48c | 2,172$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.3 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Heat | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Heat | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Thunder | 58c | 1,727$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat | 48c | 1,700$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.59 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Heat | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Heat | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat | 48c | 1,254$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.08 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Thunder | 53c | 1,222$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.66 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Heat | 52c | 1,120$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.24 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Heat | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.25 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Heat | 48c | 814.16$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.36 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 48c | 810.64$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Heat | 49c | 800$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Heat | 47c | 799.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.2 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Heat | 49c | 731.8$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.7 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Thunder | 51c | 673.94$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.71 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Heat | 49c | 620$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Heat | 48c | 560$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Heat | 72c | 557.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.27 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Heat | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Thunder | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Heat | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…175fbacked Thunder | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Thunder | 53c | 356.6$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Heat | 49c | 356.21$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.13 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 45c | 329.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Heat | 48c | 316.76$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.72 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Heat | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Heat | 48c | 287.88$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Heat | 48c | 274.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Heat | 48c | 252.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Heat | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Thunder | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Heat | 52c | 230.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Thunder | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Heat | 55c | 213.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Thunder | 48c | 212.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b38…ba47backed Heat | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Heat | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…a78dbacked Heat | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Heat | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Heat | 48c | 196$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Thunder | 63c | 183.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Thunder | 55c | 178.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Thunder | 62c | 177.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Thunder | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Heat | 71c | 140.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Heat | 46c | 136.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Heat | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Thunder | 51c | 120.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Heat | 51c | 117.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Heat | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Heat | 48c | 104.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Heat | 48c | 100.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Heat | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Heat | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…5685backed Heat | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Heat | 42c | 97.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Heat | 48c | 96.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Thunder | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Heat | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Heat | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Heat | 49c | 78.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Heat | 48c | 75.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Thunder | 59c | 74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Thunder | 50c | 70.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Heat | 48c | 68.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf415…01a4backed Heat | 75c | 66.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)this page
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Heat won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Heat won
- Thunder vs. HeatHeat won
- Thunder vs. Heat: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 18.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.