Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32d3e27f3ff33a71ac353692e397fdd7cbfd24446d7c58125a3c5f1faf3a0596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shiftersof Team Heretics, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Team Heretics | 44c | 35,485$15,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,608.43 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Team Heretics | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…3b1ebacked Shifters | 56c | 13,911$7,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.85 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Heretics | 9c | 12,562$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.38 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Team Heretics | 18c | 10,070$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.84 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Shifters | 56c | 10,053$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Shifters | 56c | 8,161$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.84 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Team Heretics | 34c | 7,232$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.77 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Heretics | 44c | 7,096$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.41 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…cebbbacked Shifters | 55c | 6,201$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Shifters | 59c | 5,686$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.03 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Team Heretics | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Shifters | 79c | 5,351$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.88 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Heretics | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shifters | 73c | 3,670$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.88 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Team Heretics | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Heretics | 43c | 3,215$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.39 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Shifters | 56c | 2,829$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.57 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…2658backed Team Heretics | 26c | 2,700$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Shifters | 58c | 2,500$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Shifters | 56c | 2,497$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.58 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Shifters | 59c | 2,317$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.25 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Shifters | 56c | 2,295$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.64 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Heretics | 33c | 2,130$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.1 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Heretics | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Team Heretics | 25c | 1,783$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.38 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Team Heretics | 43c | 1,710$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.3 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Team Heretics | 44c | 1,664$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.63 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Heretics | 45c | 1,634$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.31 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Team Heretics | 44c | 1,620$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Team Heretics | 23c | 1,504$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.01 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Shifters | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Shifters | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Shifters | 62c | 1,500$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Shifters | 57c | 1,400$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.95 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Shifters | 67c | 1,301$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.95 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…0d23backed Shifters | 59c | 1,277$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.99 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Team Heretics | 43c | 1,271$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.02 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Shifters | 79c | 1,217$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.52 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…3ce2backed Shifters | 78c | 1,200$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shifters | 74c | 1,198$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.51 | 1,053 | 23.4%246 W · 807 L | -76.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Team Heretics | 12c | 1,174$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Team Heretics | 40c | 1,169$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.94 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Shifters | 75c | 1,117$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.85 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Shifters | 56c | 1,116$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.58 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Shifters | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.96 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Heretics | 29c | 1,082$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.72 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…6201backed Shifters | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shifters | 76c | 1,071$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.31 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Team Heretics | 20c | 1,021$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 22.5%43 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd2…29a2backed Team Heretics | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.9 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Shifters | 77c | 1,000$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.89 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Team Heretics | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Shifters | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Team Heretics | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Shifters | 56c | 957.07$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.49 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…7cfebacked Shifters | 58c | 920$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Team Heretics | 48c | 908.47$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Shifters | 69c | 899.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shifters | 57c | 899.97$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.48 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Shifters | 56c | 889.97$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.58 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Team Heretics | 38c | 876.39$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Shifters | 74c | 875.91$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Shifters | 74c | 839$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.59 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Heretics | 41c | 823.88$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.69 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…ef26backed Team Heretics | 18c | 822.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Team Heretics | 44c | 795.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Team Heretics | 49c | 781.38$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.37 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Shifters | 56c | 750$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Team Heretics | 16c | 700$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Team Heretics | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Shifters | 72c | 687.36$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.95 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Team Heretics | 43c | 678.63$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Shifters | 57c | 678.32$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.68 | 356 | 34.8%124 W · 232 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Shifters | 47c | 666.03$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Shifters | 57c | 657.89$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.89 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Heretics | 44c | 640$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.6 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…a781backed Shifters | 73c | 637.77$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.51 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed Team Heretics | 23c | 629.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Heretics | 45c | 603.02$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.03 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Shifters | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…17d1backed Shifters | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…b55dbacked Team Heretics | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…7148backed Shifters | 60c | 589.01$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.01 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Shifters | 56c | 557$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.08 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Team Heretics | 3c | 540.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Shifters | 73c | 538.88$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Team Heretics | 44c | 506.75$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.97 | 531 | 39.9%212 W · 319 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…eab0backed Team Heretics | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Heretics | 40c | 499.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634f…8295backed Team Heretics | 26c | 468.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Team Heretics | 21c | 436.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Shifters | 57c | 432$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed Team Heretics | 43c | 414.04$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Shifters | 58c | 384.39$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Team Heretics | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Shifters | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…aca1backed Shifters | 60c | 344.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Shifters | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…7cbebacked Team Heretics | 43c | 338.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.