TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Getafe CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$357,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,230 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under45c189,073$86,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,058.154852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over55c75,000$41,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,2508940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c49,571$26,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,103.824,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over56c45,753$25,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,602.211947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over54c37,500$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,40024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over35c19,900$6,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,891.992227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over54c16,771$9,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,056.551,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over54c15,300$8,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,260.31,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.983557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under44c5,196$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,909.7764046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Over55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75080%0 W · 8 L-4.3wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under44c4,584$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.092356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under46c4,082$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.218041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over45c3,674$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.052751.9%14 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over55c3,555$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.5326550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6207353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over54c2,916$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.6420159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under44c2,591$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.912948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Over54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3505038%19 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over55c2,182$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2007448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over45c1,432$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6414367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under46c1,200$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.22814.3%4 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over55c1,061$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.5923452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Under43c1,046$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.35966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over58c1,000$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.75058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5503262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under44c999.96$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.983053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over48c838.31$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.467440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Over55c750$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.5120%0 W · 12 L-5.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Over55c750$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Over31c645$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-67.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under44c595.05$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2353246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Under47c589.32$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under44c546.59$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0910245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over54c540$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.612951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under44c537$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.7223250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over19c529.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over56c519.82$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.0219344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c516.49$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1883,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed Over54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over25c500$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.493724.3%9 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under44c447.99$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.883046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7560…09b0backed Under44c446.2$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fb3…bf2ebacked Over56c445.9$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under44c441.43$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.213230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…f2f2backed Over57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-71.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over54c420$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.827652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over54c420$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.831751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over54c420$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.821849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over40c405$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under44c386.59$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.4921626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over55c360$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over43c349.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2522553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over54c340$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over54c330$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.217648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over54c330$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.214244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over11c323.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1821641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over42c318.24$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6616745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16229053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16218152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over58c293.61$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2916446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac9…81a7backed Over4c270$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13519750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13514950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13543255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over53c233.53$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7734252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b2…ffcabacked Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+67.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ce…b596backed Over57c232.56$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over54c220$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.816151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under44c219.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8920452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over38c210.4$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.998236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Over26c201$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.262445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0708…3b30backed Over56c196.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.84540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.611448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over54c185.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.968446.4%39 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over56c180.36$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10111056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.221051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.29649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004465.9%29 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Over58c174.17$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.87951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.820652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.811952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.