La Liga · resolved market
Getafe CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x236146aefb9f26e9b3109a3737c8561367bdf5038815bd72a7bb4d9d3bbc9901
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 6c | 1,743$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 71c | 919.66$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.36 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 502.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 476.89$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 33c | 399.64$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 28c | 365.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 72c | 354$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 16c | 299.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 72c | 246.75$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 71c | 174.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 17c | 119.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 72c | 115.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ce…b596backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209c…6502backed Over | 19c | 77.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 29c | 69.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 79c | 66.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 71c | 56.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 71c | 45.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Over | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…b159backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 73c | 19.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Getafe CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Getafe CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Getafe CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Getafe CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.