TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,591,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,743,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,591,923 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0f8…b80dbacked Yes58c98,814$57,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,508.58560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked No32c74,829$23,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,773.260%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f5…934dbacked No21c53,907$11,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,528.86100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x387e…56a5backed No35c53,425$18,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,663.471428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked No2c49,566$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.73100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…0b2ebacked No18c40,892$7,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,459.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e0…b648backed No30c33,016$9,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,989.83812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6276…2dd9backed No66c30,000$19,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,799.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes49c27,602$13,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,179.681136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4520…b562backed No49c24,567$12,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,074.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e2a…534ebacked No64c23,890$15,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,273.9650%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62e6…564ebacked Yes59c23,751$14,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,695.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+210.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdef6…f63abacked No43c19,963$8,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,495.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Yes63c17,741$11,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,648.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No65c16,647$10,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,858.161850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c39…f064backed No45c16,585$7,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,476.490%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c2…2d1cbacked Yes33c15,595$5,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,404.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+539.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9648…6825backed No19c15,069$2,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,868.2560%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes41c14,981$6,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,777.591656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+50%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes49c13,068$6,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,612.874740.4%19 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+137.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed No60c12,972$7,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,783.1750%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes57c12,832$7,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,489.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes78c11,570$8,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.56580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No64c11,366$7,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,269.671225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-64.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeba7…85b9backed Yes39c10,574$4,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,489.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe379…3c98backed Yes36c10,064$3,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,485.89977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+48.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed No5c10,000$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.551127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf93…2fd7backed Yes40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0004100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+214.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa60e…d332backed No48c9,565$4,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,606.67520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf841…6702backed No58c8,814$5,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,103812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-77.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0af5…2470backed Yes64c8,287$5,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.81977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+58.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1dd…17b9backed No49c8,077$3,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,94340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9604…fc1dbacked No62c8,067$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.1140%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked No45c7,900$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.111717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes58c7,786$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.42988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+77.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked No16c7,252$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.12922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae8…81c0backed Yes31c6,403$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,410.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+139.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd55c…935dbacked No63c6,374$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8797…bbbebacked Yes37c6,209$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,941.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick24cpaid+102.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e15…56e1backed Yes51c6,139$3,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.45560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick22cpaid+132.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb683…af54backed No53c6,035$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,223.351020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-72.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Yes46c5,388$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x148e…bb48backed Yes46c5,273$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed No44c5,194$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+325.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa881…cd20backed No0c5,031$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.03714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick1cpaid+73.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes66c4,950$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b1a…a9cbbacked No53c4,923$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed No53c4,907$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+187.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4c…de5bbacked No57c4,889$2,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,772.730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…f99fbacked Yes56c4,714$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed No43c4,686$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2200…0522backed Yes78c4,614$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c7…77b2backed Yes63c4,550$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.944100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+263.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbd2…bfd9backed Yes58c4,351$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.944100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+142.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c27…bdb0backed No59c4,261$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.3970%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes55c4,196$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed71…d7cebacked No23c4,149$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.7440%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0be6…330fbacked Yes49c4,137$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.45475%3 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick23cpaid+243%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked Yes73c4,124$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0338…4426backed No58c4,091$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c9…1b1abacked Yes34c4,070$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.48580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+204.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed No67c4,044$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.581618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-71.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Yes27c4,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,920.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c3…eb07backed No56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked Yes37c3,998$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick28cpaid+215.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Yes61c3,997$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x202b…7384backed No51c3,953$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes39c3,922$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.741145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick19cpaid+167.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x162f…798dbacked No49c3,906$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.86922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-66.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb814…6fafbacked Yes39c3,886$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55f6…d7bcbacked No41c3,856$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34bf…26e7backed No39c3,830$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.2840%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4526…7a45backed Yes54c3,783$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f45…97cebacked Yes55c3,756$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+55.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8157…f6ebbacked No55c3,736$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed No40c3,620$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.8119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-88.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4728…6426backed No54c3,599$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fb…57e5backed No36c3,596$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+175.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd96…cbdcbacked No38c3,469$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.791540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b2…4486backed Yes67c3,241$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick32cpaid+108.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x278d…09a0backed Yes77c3,233$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+172.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0207…711dbacked No70c3,224$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Yes39c3,167$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+345.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9949…83a4backed Yes32c3,147$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+214.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No41c3,055$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.82714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-80.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes64c3,000$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8803…eb1dbacked No56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc09…9024backed No17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51060%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes36c2,992$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+210.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36e6…6894backed No58c2,990$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe93…810abacked No27c2,952$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.6450%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a60…9253backed Yes34c2,905$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+545.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc636…5ef9backed No49c2,842$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25a1…67b0backed Yes36c2,825$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+583%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No54c2,800$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked No55c2,742$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.68825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…fcd5backed No29c2,731$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+148.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4014…a2edbacked No70c2,711$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed Yes57c2,698$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+88.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…e5efbacked Yes39c2,689$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.