TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55f6…d7bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+43.9%+$21.6
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$72.57
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$240.76
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$246.48
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$71.54
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.91
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$88.56
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+187.8%+$75.69
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$53.69
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$15.84
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$152.28
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.09
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.76
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100.8%+$13.05
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$59.5
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34.16
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$53.25
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$47.7
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+170.3%+$106.47
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$88.66
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$63.07
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+122.2%+$34.1
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42.42
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$59.52
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$23.4
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14.88
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$31.95
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+257.1%+$73.44
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$186.56
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+316.7%+$140.6
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$124.83
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+310.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,328.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$372
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$329.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$126.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$29.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73%+$311.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,567.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.