TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Lions vs. Rams

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ramsof Lions, Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,183,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,220,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,183,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 569 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5350…2fdabacked Lions31c150,000$46,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,0004250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Lions31c89,552$27,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,761.247939.2%31 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Rams69c75,000$51,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,2509359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rams68c67,499$45,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,805.2175852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Rams70c64,698$45,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,409.2824957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Rams62c34,838$21,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,261.575250%26 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rams70c32,904$23,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,844.3431854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9e6…025bbacked Lions51c32,293$16,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,515.441145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lions28c32,159$9,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,129.450242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Rams69c30,602$21,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,407.417248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rams70c29,684$20,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,981.219152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Lions22c28,908$6,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,289.247738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Lions33c26,411$8,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,693.2318650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rams69c21,706$14,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,728.781,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Rams69c20,735$14,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,427.897657.9%44 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+134.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Lions30c18,492$5,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,547.5824652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Lions0c16,153$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.781486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Lions31c16,000$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,959.9814342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Rams69c15,319$10,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,748.8211544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rams56c15,127$8,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,678.4886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Lions31c15,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,65013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rams69c15,000$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.9624056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lions28c14,109$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,952.0227348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Lions30c13,500$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0504452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Lions41c12,800$5,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2483560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lions19c12,115$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.9731543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Lions30c11,853$3,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,573.7811643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Lions30c10,067$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,02013142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rams68c10,032$6,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.720026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Rams70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0003444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Rams69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Lions56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Lions29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.9930743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Lions19c9,994$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.3568446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81fb…3f8bbacked Lions30c9,960$2,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,98810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lions22c9,651$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.9419235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2db…0733backed Rams76c9,615$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Lions0c9,076$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.144311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Lions31c9,000$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7902454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Lions41c8,622$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,535.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Rams69c8,532$5,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.7353253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Rams45c8,030$3,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,416.779245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rams69c8,000$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.9739447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Lions45c7,246$3,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,293.1516254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Rams68c7,135$4,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.327554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae6a…faf4backed Lions31c7,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1702240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0d9…ca67backed Lions34c6,700$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.53548.6%17 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Lions31c6,500$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0158343.4%36 W · 47 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Lions31c6,452$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Rams71c6,046$4,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.9421254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Lions31c6,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8608351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Lions29c6,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7407626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Lions31c5,888$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.881723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x029b…37e7backed Rams70c5,883$4,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Rams69c5,555$3,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.0314248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Lions34c5,246$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.793339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca36…1e9cbacked Lions30c5,102$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.662653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+59.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Lions55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75018435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Lions55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7504358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rams70c4,984$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.2834349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rams69c4,739$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.1731848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rams66c4,329$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.9230043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2f…5932backed Rams70c4,114$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Lions41c4,080$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.85650%28 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Lions28c4,031$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.75152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Rams48c3,965$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.752040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Lions1c3,830$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.15980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5581…cb44backed Rams71c3,710$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.651752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Rams70c3,670$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1016549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dba…c816backed Lions10c3,656$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.694325.6%11 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Lions41c3,427$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4057259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Rams66c3,360$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.714258.5%83 W · 59 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Rams70c3,336$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.714957.1%28 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Lions30c3,307$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9923522.9%8 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Lions45c3,257$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.313138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lions29c3,136$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.4447348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Rams61c3,136$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.815939%23 W · 36 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Lions38c3,072$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.4220757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lions29c2,999$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.6353348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Rams69c2,986$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.6717041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Lions30c2,952$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.672445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb9…3defbacked Lions32c2,920$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9402147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Rams70c2,889$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.563953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Rams58c2,860$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.55356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c9…b8bbbacked Rams67c2,806$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Lions41c2,800$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1486743.3%29 W · 38 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdea3…e4babacked Lions40c2,547$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.46616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbce1…565dbacked Lions6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502250%11 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Lions33c2,396$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Lions60c2,222$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.22373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Lions30c2,142$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.5939242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Rams70c2,085$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.429657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rams71c2,018$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.5431056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Lions30c2,000$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.28447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e2…1c56backed Lions39c1,890$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.031353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rams62c1,885$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.8219551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Rams57c1,880$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.765736.8%21 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Lions20c1,880$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3805038%19 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Rams69c1,808$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.012638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Rams64c1,801$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.426649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.