NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Rams: O/U 55.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29282ef4da6825f78e9e4460c1fa075dd97c5f2fe1f9a74caf812dc3458b500b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 9,301$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,932.96 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 53c | 1,628$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.66 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 1,613$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,461$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.7 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Over | 50c | 1,006$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 440.82$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.82 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 47c | 372.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 278.57$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 54c | 198.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…b176backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…ca99backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 46c | 32.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…a20dbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…50dbbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lions vs. Rams: O/U 55.5this page
- Lions vs. RamsRams won
- Lions vs. Rams: 1H MoneylineLions won
- Lions vs. Rams: O/U 50.5Over won
- Lions vs. Rams: O/U 51.5Over won
- Lions vs. Rams: O/U 53.5Over won
- Lions vs. Rams: O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: Rams (-4.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-5.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-6.5)Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.