TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Rams (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ramsof Rams, Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$557,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$559,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Rams53c400,000$211,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189,00030043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Lions47c275,758$130,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,910.0186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Lions48c90,000$42,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,80011445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Rams52c40,000$20,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,40016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lions47c34,151$16,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,051.275852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Lions50c33,814$16,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,906.777939.2%31 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Lions48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Lions47c27,107$12,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,763.0519152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Rams51c23,886$12,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,70424957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Rams51c19,593$9,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,600.8916860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lions47c15,048$7,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,144.011,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Rams51c13,096$6,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,417.0714252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lions49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,92051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Lions47c6,808$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.7637350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Rams53c6,618$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.4818140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Rams52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1511255.4%62 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Rams51c3,347$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.949754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Lions48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.844847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rams51c3,233$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.1720661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Rams52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9919240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Rams52c2,160$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.0527454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Rams53c2,131$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.046943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Rams52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604264.3%27 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Rams52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72015555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lions47c1,191$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.7639754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lions47c1,170$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.91,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c77…6282backed Rams50c1,105$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.823435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Lions49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.282748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Rams53c1,013$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.244259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Rams53c881.13$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.133240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rams52c872.1$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.6123647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lions47c823.48$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0456852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Lions49c804.8$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.3554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Lions49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3927436.5%27 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Lions49c762$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.386451.6%33 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lions47c752$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.4477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Lions47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28253253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Rams52c503.85$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.855345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Rams53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2359248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Rams51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.211156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161c…3b03backed Rams53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.75756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lions55c461.62$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4773651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Rams51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19623447.9%112 W · 122 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Rams51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19610548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Rams51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.167361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Rams51c390$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.114949%73 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Rams52c388.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7112151.2%62 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rams52c339.44$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1765048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Rams51c320.02$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8113448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12a4…8654backed Lions48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rams50c294$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14720650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Rams53c277.36$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.362770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Lions48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Rams53c235.85$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8516451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Lions47c228$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1614060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Lions47c228$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1617656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lions47c210.95$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1520555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Rams51c204.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Lions48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4220354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Rams52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9610454.8%57 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Rams52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.318747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Rams53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6811650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Lions47c152$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4411859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Lions47c148$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5616957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Rams53c131.08$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.612653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3629…85c5backed Rams53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Lions47c126$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2212057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Lions47c126$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2211758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Rams51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6511054.5%60 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3d…73e7backed Rams51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Rams51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Rams52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489651%49 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…47efbacked Lions50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Rams51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.049654.2%52 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe673…5c88backed Lions49c98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Rams52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1512843%55 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37a7…a42bbacked Rams52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156243.5%27 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Rams52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.158956.2%50 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Rams53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346521.5%14 W · 51 L-9.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Lions47c85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9511253.6%60 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fadabacked Rams52c84.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.626547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Lions47c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4810359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Lions47c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.489659.4%57 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Lions47c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.489757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Lions47c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4811056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Lions47c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.489651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc1b…0adebacked Lions48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Rams51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.437065.7%46 W · 24 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Rams50c77.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9117459.2%103 W · 71 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c9…bacfbacked Lions47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Rams53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.524243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Rams51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.026251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdb…cc6bbacked Lions52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lions48c47.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9414952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6470…aac7backed Rams52c42.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.313844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Lions47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7410155.4%56 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Lions47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7410155.4%56 W · 45 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Lions47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7411856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Lions48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1630442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Lions49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.