NFL · resolved market

Bills vs. Patriots

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3e1a124a8fcb85e220a60e52049d1ebd2afb87fc8034ceaeb6567c8b968239e

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Billsof Bills, Patriots
Resolved: Dec 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,199,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,389,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,199,074 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb744…5210backed Bills	56c	2,091,525$1,165,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$925,617.51	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Patriots	44c	1,423,429$633,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633,369.19	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Patriots	43c	544,395$235,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235,807.23	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a55…f9bebacked Bills	56c	206,872$116,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90,076.26	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Patriots	45c	91,916$40,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,933.76	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Patriots	44c	90,000$39,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,600	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	+10.2wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Patriots	46c	82,092$37,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,657.96	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.23per pick	41cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bills	52c	70,256$36,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,783.71	312	40.7%127 W · 185 L	-22.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bills	56c	70,000$39,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,800	246	52%128 W · 118 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e6…025bbacked Bills	68c	57,286$38,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,342.32	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	59cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Patriots	43c	56,949$24,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,488.17	224	50%112 W · 112 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Patriots	60c	54,938$33,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,048.44	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Patriots	44c	54,803$24,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,113.34	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Bills	57c	52,718$30,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,668.62	79	39.2%31 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Patriots	44c	50,000$22,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,999.99	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Patriots	30c	47,955$14,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,376.38	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Bills	56c	46,900$26,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,635.99	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3a…8679backed Bills	55c	46,103$25,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,532.66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Bills	53c	45,888$24,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,567.22	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x318a…2f31backed Patriots	46c	43,450$19,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,986.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Patriots	48c	42,514$20,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,212.62	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	62cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bills	56c	38,318$21,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,971.85	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Patriots	47c	36,376$17,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,251.9	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Bills	54c	35,601$19,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,376.44	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Patriots	39c	34,777$13,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,567.26	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Patriots	45c	30,000$13,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,400	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots	47c	29,755$13,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,943.72	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Patriots	44c	25,000$11,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,049.91	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Patriots	42c	24,877$10,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,450.73	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+9.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Patriots	4c	24,089$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.84	315	43.2%136 W · 179 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Patriots	38c	23,871$9,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,022.58	232	44.4%103 W · 129 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bills	56c	18,290$10,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,047.63	115	44.3%51 W · 64 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Bills	56c	17,000$9,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,479.98	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Bills	13c	16,749$2,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,571.62	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Bills	51c	16,036$8,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,927.64	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Patriots	44c	15,514$6,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,826.23	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Patriots	46c	15,433$7,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,110.01	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Bills	51c	14,580$7,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,081.35	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bills	56c	14,443$8,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,354.91	240	56.7%136 W · 104 L	+19.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9dd…3cc5backed Bills	23c	14,175$3,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,858.2	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Patriots	42c	13,834$5,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,795.54	502	42.4%213 W · 289 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc97…58a6backed Patriots	45c	13,067$5,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,827.36	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Patriots	46c	12,945$6,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,016.07	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Patriots	47c	12,607$5,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,876.63	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7263…9422backed Bills	43c	11,904$5,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,785.63	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Patriots	44c	11,500$5,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,060	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Bills	52c	11,135$5,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,344.97	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Patriots	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Patriots	43c	10,000$4,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,300	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+134.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Bills	53c	9,999$5,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,674.18	318	54.7%174 W · 144 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Patriots	62c	9,888$6,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,110	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Patriots	59c	9,616$5,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,680.29	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2db…0733backed Patriots	44c	9,545$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,199.8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Bills	54c	9,259$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,259.26	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Bills	22c	9,144$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,144.14	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Patriots	44c	9,091$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	131	42%55 W · 76 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b48…050cbacked Patriots	56c	8,726$4,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,909.94	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Patriots	45c	8,000$3,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,585	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Patriots	49c	8,000$3,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,880	176	48.9%86 W · 90 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Bills	40c	7,512$3,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,480.35	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90dc…5ba6backed Patriots	49c	7,233$3,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,544	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Bills	54c	7,122$3,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,303.64	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Patriots	44c	7,034$3,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,065.13	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Bills	50c	7,028$3,481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,547.28	310	56.8%176 W · 134 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Bills	57c	7,018$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,017.54	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Patriots	59c	6,330$3,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,710.2	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Bills	53c	6,149$3,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,890.07	168	60.7%102 W · 66 L	+18.7wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Patriots	67c	6,130$4,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,117.94	276	44.2%122 W · 154 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Bills	57c	6,098$3,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,622.25	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Bills	36c	5,839$2,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,743.18	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Patriots	48c	5,555$2,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,666.33	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bills	58c	5,480$3,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,306.79	162	54.9%89 W · 73 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Patriots	57c	5,455$3,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,109.08	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Patriots	68c	5,432$3,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,675.04	238	50.8%121 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Bills	53c	5,392$2,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,508.51	141	54.6%77 W · 64 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Bills	54c	5,370$2,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,470.37	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-6.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Bills	55c	5,365$2,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,398.46	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Bills	57c	5,263$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,263.16	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d19…733abacked Bills	77c	5,259$4,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,184.43	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Patriots	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	343	49.3%169 W · 174 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Bills	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Bills	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	265	47.2%125 W · 140 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Bills	53c	4,717$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,216.98	181	40.9%74 W · 107 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Bills	16c	4,657$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,907.06	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e1c…440cbacked Patriots	47c	4,383$2,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,060	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb848…6431backed Bills	53c	4,374$2,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,055.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Patriots	16c	4,268$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	81	28.4%23 W · 58 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Patriots	47c	4,255$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1313…85d8backed Patriots	44c	4,000$1,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,760	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Patriots	44c	3,893$1,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,713	163	44.8%73 W · 90 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Patriots	39c	3,799$1,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,462.99	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Patriots	79c	3,793$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	68cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa0…488bbacked Bills	48c	3,680$1,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,900.79	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	42cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…837dbacked Bills	44c	3,621$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,021.19	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Bills	56c	3,600$2,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,584	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Bills	57c	3,509$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,508.77	111	54.1%60 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Bills	20c	3,397$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,707.88	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d63…020cbacked Patriots	45c	3,352$1,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,508.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Bills	40c	3,342$1,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,019.28	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bills	54c	3,262$1,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,504.35	532	53%282 W · 250 L	+19.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bills vs. Patriotsthis page
Bills vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
Bills vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5Over won
Bills vs. Patriots: O/U 47.5Over won
Bills vs. Patriots: O/U 48.5Over won
Bills vs. Patriots: O/U 49.5Over won
Bills vs. Patriots: O/U 50.5Over won
Bills vs. Patriots: O/U 58.5Over won
Spread: Bills (-1.5)Bills won
Spread: Bills (-2.5)Bills won
Spread: Bills (-4.5)Patriots won
Spread: Patriots (-1.5)Bills won
Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Bills won
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Bills won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bills vs. Patriots

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event