NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Chiefs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a3679091be1ff7d8a7f5d550155b5d893741c5e1afe00e52ded96510408ce5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Chargers, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,800,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,017,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,800,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,006 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Chiefs | 71c | 80,383$57,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,072.11 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chiefs | 70c | 76,808$53,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,765.45 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Chargers | 52c | 67,822$35,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,344.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chiefs | 68c | 55,467$37,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,720.96 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Chargers | 30c | 49,231$14,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,461.5 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Chiefs | 71c | 48,609$34,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,512.23 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Chargers | 43c | 46,803$19,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,885.09 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Chiefs | 71c | 43,747$31,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,052.2 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Chiefs | 71c | 40,756$28,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,821.69 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Chiefs | 74c | 38,000$28,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,294.92 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Chargers | 30c | 32,742$9,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,936.53 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Chiefs | 70c | 30,996$21,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,787.32 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Chargers | 29c | 30,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,300 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Chiefs | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Chargers | 29c | 30,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,299.98 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chargers | 29c | 29,833$8,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,212.19 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Chargers | 31c | 29,062$9,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,053.84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Chiefs | 71c | 28,000$19,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,759.99 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Chargers | 29c | 25,371$7,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,013.22 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chiefs | 70c | 24,055$16,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,834.8 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chargers | 38c | 21,506$8,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,415.85 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chargers | 30c | 20,127$6,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,081.46 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Chiefs | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,200 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Chargers | 29c | 19,951$5,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,165.04 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Chargers | 31c | 18,889$5,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,061.07 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Chiefs | 48c | 18,499$8,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850.73 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Chiefs | 55c | 16,990$9,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,343.44 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Chiefs | 38c | 16,580$6,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,332.99 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Chargers | 30c | 16,500$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,565 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Chiefs | 51c | 15,063$7,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,709.12 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…f94cbacked Chargers | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…0733backed Chiefs | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chiefs | 71c | 15,000$10,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,649.99 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Chiefs | 70c | 14,924$10,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,447.09 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Chargers | 29c | 14,773$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,488.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Chargers | 28c | 14,349$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,349.36 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Chargers | 23c | 13,781$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,598.91 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chargers | 45c | 13,623$6,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,473.95 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Chargers | 47c | 12,868$6,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,804.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Chargers | 40c | 12,538$5,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,470.53 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b7…6a84backed Chargers | 30c | 12,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,750 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +293.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chiefs | 70c | 12,277$8,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,617.33 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Chargers | 29c | 12,069$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,568.97 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Chargers | 65c | 12,043$7,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.08 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Chiefs | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +931.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Chargers | 40c | 12,000$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,190.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Chargers | 29c | 11,634$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,314.21 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Chargers | 29c | 11,520$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,178.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Chargers | 29c | 11,500$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,165 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chiefs | 71c | 11,122$7,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,896.62 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Chargers | 42c | 11,040$4,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370.33 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Chargers | 28c | 11,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,919.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Chiefs | 71c | 11,000$7,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,819.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Chargers | 30c | 10,560$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,392 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chiefs | 69c | 10,386$7,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,215.77 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Chargers | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Chiefs | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Chargers | 38c | 9,738$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,028.17 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Chargers | 30c | 8,667$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,066.67 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Chargers | 36c | 8,037$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130.7 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Chargers | 32c | 8,000$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,469.95 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…7258backed Chargers | 70c | 7,970$5,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chiefs | 61c | 7,662$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.56 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Chargers | 58c | 7,286$4,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.14 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Chargers | 30c | 7,174$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,021.8 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…4365backed Chiefs | 72c | 7,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chiefs | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.99 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Chargers | 29c | 6,897$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.55 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Chiefs | 71c | 6,836$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853.32 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chiefs | 65c | 6,625$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.48 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Chiefs | 71c | 6,298$4,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.81 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Chargers | 32c | 6,284$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.38 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Chiefs | 71c | 5,948$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.39 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…32a3backed Chiefs | 71c | 5,700$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…b1b5backed Chiefs | 71c | 5,700$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chargers | 39c | 5,412$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.57 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…3172backed Chiefs | 71c | 5,400$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Chiefs | 64c | 5,267$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.41 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Chiefs | 70c | 5,197$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Chargers | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…85d8backed Chargers | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Chiefs | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Chiefs | 71c | 4,908$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.97 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Chargers | 29c | 4,794$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Chargers | 42c | 4,767$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.24 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…3dd4backed Chargers | 30c | 4,724$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chargers | 29c | 4,569$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.88 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Chargers | 29c | 4,115$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.82 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Chargers | 29c | 4,083$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…faf4backed Chiefs | 73c | 4,039$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Chargers | 62c | 4,035$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.61 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Chargers | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.98 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.8wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Chargers | 30c | 3,793$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.33 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Chiefs | 71c | 3,726$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.55 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8831…2b4bbacked Chiefs | 72c | 3,700$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Chiefs | 71c | 3,627$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Chiefs | 71c | 3,522$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.93 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Chiefs | 71c | 3,521$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Chargers | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Chiefs | 71c | 3,352$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chargers vs. Chiefsthis page
- 1H Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)Chargers won
- Chargers vs. Chiefs: 1H MoneylineChiefs won
- Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)Chargers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.