NFL · resolved market

Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa53d1a7a74d867ed0458d88ffc2c6352fbdf6a64da592b3e529b36a73eea7324

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Chargersof Chiefs, Chargers
Resolved: Dec 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $188,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $191,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,886 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Chiefs	52c	50,227$26,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,259	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Chargers	48c	33,333$16,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,333.16	111	68.5%76 W · 35 L	+18.5wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Chiefs	51c	30,000$15,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,399.81	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.23per pick	41cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Chargers	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,399.99	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Chargers	49c	19,793$9,699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,094.47	195	53.8%105 W · 90 L	+16.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Chargers	50c	11,484$5,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,742	212	54.2%115 W · 97 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Chargers	49c	9,796$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,995.92	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43fd…99a7backed Chiefs	51c	9,768$5,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,001.8	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Chiefs	52c	5,769$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Chiefs	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	131	42%55 W · 76 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Chargers	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Chargers	47c	4,235$1,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,245.56	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Chargers	47c	4,188$1,969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,219.86	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chargers	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chiefs	53c	3,774$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	112	55.4%62 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Chargers	48c	3,279$1,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,712.17	284	47.5%135 W · 149 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Chiefs	52c	3,140$1,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632.96	141	54.6%77 W · 64 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…5019backed Chargers	48c	3,125$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94d9…870ebacked Chiefs	53c	2,830$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Chiefs	53c	2,500$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-7.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Chiefs	52c	2,200$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Chiefs	52c	2,047$1,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064.18	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Chargers	49c	1,934$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$986.35	544	51.7%281 W · 263 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Chiefs	51c	1,633$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.83	206	61.2%126 W · 80 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Chiefs	51c	1,505$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.1	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Chiefs	52c	1,400$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Chiefs	53c	1,325$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	+7.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Chargers	49c	1,300$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666	266	48.9%130 W · 136 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Chiefs	54c	1,250$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.71	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Chargers	45c	1,111$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.11	200	39.5%79 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Chiefs	52c	1,040$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.8	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Chiefs	52c	961.54$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	123	43.1%53 W · 70 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Chargers	47c	714.25$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.55	75	30.7%23 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Chargers	49c	700$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357	187	44.9%84 W · 103 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Chargers	48c	660.25$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.33	124	45.2%56 W · 68 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Chiefs	52c	633$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.16	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Chiefs	50c	631.22$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.61	568	52.3%297 W · 271 L	+26.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Chiefs	53c	628.3$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Chiefs	52c	619.98$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.35	157	46.5%73 W · 84 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Chargers	50c	575.22$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.61	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-7.8wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-34%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9210…a5f0backed Chargers	48c	520.83$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.83	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Chargers	49c	500$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Chargers	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.27per pick	50cpaid	+58%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Chiefs	52c	480.77$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c77…6282backed Chiefs	52c	480.77$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3973…2b2abacked Chargers	48c	431.25$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.25	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+82.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaddb…51adbacked Chargers	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Chiefs	52c	385$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.2	149	49%73 W · 76 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Chargers	72c	378.16$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.82	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Chiefs	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	211	51.2%108 W · 103 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Chargers	49c	333$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.83	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Chargers	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	204	43.6%89 W · 115 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Chargers	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Chargers	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Chiefs	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	-9.4wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Chiefs	52c	281.5$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.19	363	41.9%152 W · 211 L	-13.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb9…7bf4backed Chargers	37c	270.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.27	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe4…ff36backed Chargers	56c	267.86$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.86	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Chargers	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Chargers	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	120	39.2%47 W · 73 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Chiefs	51c	204.08$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.08	194	59.3%115 W · 79 L	+15.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Chargers	48c	200$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	117	40.2%47 W · 70 L	-10.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked Chargers	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Chargers	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	175	48%84 W · 91 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Chiefs	53c	190$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.7	553	45%249 W · 304 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Chargers	48c	187.5$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	280	47.5%133 W · 147 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Chargers	50c	187.18$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.59	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8021…0da8backed Chargers	49c	177.05$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.2	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Chargers	48c	155.14$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.67	320	50.9%163 W · 157 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Chargers	49c	150$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3629…85c5backed Chiefs	53c	145$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.85	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Chiefs	38c	141$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.58	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+61.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Chargers	62c	141$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.58	356	48%171 W · 185 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Chiefs	51c	108.2$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.18	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Chargers	48c	102.08$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.08	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Chargers	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb740…2422backed Chargers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	162	43.8%71 W · 91 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Chargers	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	234	47.9%112 W · 122 L	-10.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6422…a346backed Chargers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Chargers	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	182	45.6%83 W · 99 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Chargers	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce09…6b0bbacked Chargers	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Chiefs	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	96	51%49 W · 47 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c8…cf43backed Chargers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chargers	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	187	45.5%85 W · 102 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6941…efd5backed Chiefs	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Chiefs	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	89	56.2%50 W · 39 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Chiefs	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	21.5%14 W · 51 L	-9.5wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x512f…6a7ebacked Chargers	49c	91.87$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.76	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+6.2wins	+0.21per pick	49cpaid	+50.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Chargers	46c	86.96$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.96	221	42.1%93 W · 128 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Chargers	48c	84$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.68	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x829b…0473backed Chargers	50c	80.2$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.2	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Chargers	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Chargers	47c	79.99$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.39	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Chiefs	51c	77.77$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.78	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed Chiefs	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0488…aea5backed Chargers	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Chargers	49c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.6	169	40.8%69 W · 100 L	-7.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Chiefs	51c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.3	342	47.4%162 W · 180 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf7f…0b18backed Chargers	49c	59.08$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.13	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+4.4wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)Chargers won
Chargers vs. ChiefsChargers won
Chargers vs. Chiefs: 1H MoneylineChiefs won
Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5Under won
Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5Under won
Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5Under won
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)Chargers won
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)Chargers won
Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)Chargers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event