NFL · resolved market
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe2f842b68c765ee0e66b5935778917e2023d34f9066849108c6db8a17294b57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,006,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,073,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,006,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed Yes | 37c | 55,116$20,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,631.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked No | 63c | 35,561$22,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,311.27 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d05…0ff6backed Yes | 66c | 31,633$20,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,840.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed No | 56c | 27,873$15,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,480.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 56c | 23,481$13,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,307.12 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 30c | 20,391$6,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,189.73 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 35c | 16,419$5,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,681.09 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 20c | 15,566$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126.84 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed No | 30c | 14,700$4,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,384.1 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…131bbacked Yes | 28c | 13,520$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,683.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed No | 73c | 12,714$9,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,238.27 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…b220backed No | 19c | 11,960$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…b85ebacked No | 23c | 11,800$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…286fbacked Yes | 63c | 11,772$7,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 72c | 11,578$8,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.61 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 33c | 11,382$3,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 58c | 9,789$5,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,715.75 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed Yes | 49c | 9,734$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Yes | 65c | 8,196$5,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 29c | 7,873$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,613.27 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78c…0c5abacked Yes | 62c | 7,729$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 33c | 6,976$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.92 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…50eebacked Yes | 36c | 6,718$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 79c | 6,415$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.59 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…e61fbacked Yes | 71c | 6,059$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 43cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c4c9backed Yes | 76c | 5,552$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Yes | 60c | 5,066$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.24 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Yes | 70c | 5,039$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.9 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…f027backed Yes | 69c | 4,950$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.38 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 28c | 4,879$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.24 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 40c | 4,786$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.04 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 71c | 4,583$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.1 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 47c | 4,519$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.65 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 27c | 4,489$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 13c | 4,210$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.66 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 27c | 4,161$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 30c | 3,930$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.45 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 3,920$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Yes | 63c | 3,723$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.95 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 61c | 3,718$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.27 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…54afbacked No | 72c | 3,700$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…f772backed No | 72c | 3,600$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…82b2backed No | 72c | 3,400$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 26c | 3,333$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.06 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8b…a018backed Yes | 77c | 3,250$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed Yes | 65c | 3,211$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 62c | 3,158$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.14 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked Yes | 29c | 3,141$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.46 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 39c | 3,115$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.53 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…46c8backed Yes | 77c | 3,100$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…5b2cbacked Yes | 52c | 3,063$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…918cbacked Yes | 43c | 2,995$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 63c | 2,931$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.48 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd81…fe97backed No | 72c | 2,820$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…6108backed Yes | 77c | 2,800$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 34c | 2,797$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…9921backed Yes | 77c | 2,650$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 46c | 2,611$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.41 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…eb07backed No | 19c | 2,587$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 45c | 2,529$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.48 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 42c | 2,485$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.02 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Yes | 58c | 2,360$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.27 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 62c | 2,240$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.03 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…4ac4backed No | 72c | 2,176$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed No | 46c | 2,172$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.1 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 26c | 2,147$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Yes | 62c | 2,100$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 79c | 2,082$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.41 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 20c | 2,000$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 71c | 1,897$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.96 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…4dd0backed Yes | 61c | 1,802$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes | 63c | 1,797$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.64 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 65c | 1,777$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked No | 27c | 1,761$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.77 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6416…18d7backed No | 37c | 1,754$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 13c | 1,746$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.03 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…1a25backed Yes | 69c | 1,744$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…8afdbacked Yes | 69c | 1,738$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes | 29c | 1,717$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.18 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 20c | 1,698$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 22c | 1,686$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.63 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 11c | 1,638$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaa…81d6backed Yes | 31c | 1,621$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +224.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 30c | 1,615$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.2 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3126…4ff7backed Yes | 70c | 1,600$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…33eebacked Yes | 70c | 1,590$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…8a3ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,565$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 6c | 1,523$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 29c | 1,449$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 50c | 1,433$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.97 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 1,424$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 40c | 1,411$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.39 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 38c | 1,384$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.31 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 74c | 1,347$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…b39abacked Yes | 41c | 1,285$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 16c | 1,278$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.83 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Baker Mayfield win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Bo Nix win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Bryce Young win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will C.J. Stroud win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Cameron Ward win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Dak Prescott win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Daniel Jones win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Derrick Henry win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Jared Goff win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Jayden Daniels win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Joe Burrow win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Jordan Love win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Justin Herbert win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Lamar Jackson win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Maxx Crosby win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Micah Parsons win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Myles Garrett win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Sam Darnold win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.