TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,367 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d72…e9d2backed Yes0c23,186$23 inLost-$23.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c51…8ca3backed Yes0c22,150$22 inLost-$22.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbab…583ebacked Yes0c21,757$22 inLost-$21.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c10,186$23 inLost-$22.5414926.2%39 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…0cc9backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c3,318$54 inLost-$53.765679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561f…a932backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes2c2,421$48 inLost-$48.42922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…cee7backed Yes10c2,171$213 inLost-$213.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b5…e5eebacked Yes9c1,124$100 inLost-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes6c771.1$47 inLost-$47.463732.4%12 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87e5…6444backed Yes13c752.55$100 inLost-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Yes9c687.06$60 inLost-$606338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcff…a5d5backed Yes6c435.67$26 inLost-$26.211933.6%40 W · 79 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes7c351.52$24 inLost-$23.518441.7%35 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes7c300$20 inLost-$20.18818.2%16 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd425…7518backed Yes8c300$24 inLost-$244528.9%13 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb81…4f4fbacked Yes10c286.08$28 inLost-$28.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes9c225$20 inLost-$19.848847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Yes8c200$17 inLost-$16.84334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes13c152.39$20 inLost-$2022053.2%117 W · 103 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b5…8541backed Yes11c87.61$10 inLost-$10.034837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ecb…2861backed Yes22c45.16$10 inLost-$101931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.