TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfbab…583e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT6045%27 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.53
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.81
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+150%+$23.48
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.82
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+177.8%+$24.41
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.82
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.67
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+150%+$15.99
Suns vs. Netsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.08
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.71
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$14.09
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-68.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Blackhawks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.46
Sharks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$38.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.