NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x419470396d6bc64407fe0604ca45aee7dd79b2cc922966e2edd79347a112ffae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Blackhawks, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Blackhawks | 37c | 6,903$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.22 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…b81bbacked Ducks | 64c | 5,700$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Blackhawks | 37c | 5,650$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.5 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b68…1683backed Blackhawks | 36c | 5,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Ducks | 63c | 4,125$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.25 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Blackhawks | 37c | 3,300$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Blackhawks | 37c | 3,263$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.13 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Ducks | 63c | 2,906$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.03 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Ducks | 64c | 2,800$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blackhawks | 36c | 2,589$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.19 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Ducks | 64c | 2,330$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.47 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ducks | 63c | 2,314$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.14 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Ducks | 63c | 2,294$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.65 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blackhawks | 35c | 2,287$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.89 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks | 37c | 2,251$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.9 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Ducks | 63c | 2,010$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.74 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Blackhawks | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 64c | 1,900$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.84 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Blackhawks | 37c | 1,847$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.46 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks | 62c | 1,827$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.32 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ducks | 62c | 1,712$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.27 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ducks | 63c | 1,581$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.15 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Blackhawks | 19c | 1,558$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.02 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 1,405$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Blackhawks | 38c | 1,229$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 75c | 1,197$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.1 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Blackhawks | 20c | 1,196$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked Ducks | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,095$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks | 63c | 1,055$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.35 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Ducks | 63c | 1,000$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 1,000$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.12 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Ducks | 64c | 999.93$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.97 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks | 62c | 959$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.42 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Ducks | 61c | 935.57$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Ducks | 68c | 880$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…1639backed Ducks | 63c | 875.86$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.07 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Ducks | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Ducks | 63c | 781.83$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.28 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Ducks | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 24c | 775$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.25 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Blackhawks | 36c | 727$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.72 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ducks | 64c | 681.49$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.97 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Ducks | 63c | 662.5$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.12 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 617.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.39 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blackhawks | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 550.01$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 62c | 506.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.6 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Ducks | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Ducks | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blackhawks | 37c | 499.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.9 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Ducks | 63c | 477$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blackhawks | 37c | 465.45$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.56 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Ducks | 67c | 463.15$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Blackhawks | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Blackhawks | 8c | 382.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Ducks | 63c | 324.57$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Ducks | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Blackhawks | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Ducks | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Ducks | 65c | 275$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Ducks | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Blackhawks | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…435cbacked Ducks | 64c | 260$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 63c | 203$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Blackhawks | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ducks | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Ducks | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Blackhawks | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Blackhawks | 37c | 199.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…ea0ebacked Blackhawks | 36c | 195$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Ducks | 63c | 159$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Ducks | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 137.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ducks | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…d78abacked Blackhawks | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…21f6backed Blackhawks | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Blackhawks | 37c | 128$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Ducks | 63c | 128$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Blackhawks | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Blackhawks | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…ea04backed Ducks | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c2d3backed Blackhawks | 37c | 110.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…7c3fbacked Ducks | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 62c | 104.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…3be5backed Blackhawks | 15c | 101.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blackhawks | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…6817backed Blackhawks | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blackhawks | 23c | 94.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Blackhawks | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Blackhawks | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks | 79c | 79.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Ducksthis page
- Blackhawks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.