NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb560be43cd48abded0c8cae83f9584540c5908c3f964caf2dd8b41100801ca1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 54c | 23,211$12,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,783.01 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 46c | 11,300$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.38 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 47c | 10,626$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.23 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 3,646$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.87 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 55c | 2,620$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.42 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 2,106$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.77 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 45c | 2,010$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.5 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.89 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 1,775$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.17 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 47c | 1,640$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.58 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 54c | 999$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.54 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 55c | 975.15$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.15 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 44c | 635.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 557$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.22 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 46c | 444$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked Under | 47c | 410.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 52c | 319.23$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 46c | 259$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 39c | 210.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 45c | 183.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 45c | 177$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 162.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 136$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Under | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Under | 47c | 80.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 49c | 59.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Over | 54c | 45.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…92ecbacked Under | 46c | 41.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Under | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 53c | 30.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…1da6backed Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 56c | 28.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 55c | 27.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 55c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…c457backed Over | 54c | 18.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. DucksDucks won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.