TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Kings, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,336,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,429,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,336,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 546 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1af1…0f7bbacked Knicks74c215,296$159,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,893.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings26c169,681$44,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,105.161,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Kings15c158,371$24,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,013.9327424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Kings0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Kings13c100,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.9923257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings15c99,875$14,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,604.2147028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings16c48,741$7,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,798.651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Kings16c47,195$7,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,551.226651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Kings13c40,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Kings14c37,143$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20016752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Kings13c35,000$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,55017646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Kings16c31,250$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings13c28,887$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.184,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks77c26,227$20,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,156.145,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Kings0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings15c20,402$3,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.412,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Kings14c20,006$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.815247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Kings13c19,655$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.1515841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings20c17,812$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,614.221,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings14c17,323$2,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Knicks79c16,362$12,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.3848956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Kings16c16,000$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.976540%26 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings13c15,655$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.5961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Kings15c15,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings24c14,333$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50027747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kings16c12,460$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.6461939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Knicks79c11,727$9,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.549640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x166a…e675backed Kings30c11,492$3,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,404.912839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Kings0c10,090$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.15523.6%13 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b05…cb18backed Kings0c10,070$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c10,055$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.558820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Kings13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Kings13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Kings16c9,271$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.3628742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Kings7c9,267$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.1831430.3%95 W · 219 L-1.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Kings24c8,274$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Kings1c8,000$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4426637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Kings14c7,360$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007536%27 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Kings21c7,254$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003411.8%4 W · 30 L-8.5wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-62%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Kings14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Kings15c7,100$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06513148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kings14c7,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Kings16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings16c6,100$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9761,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Kings25c5,935$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.8612541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings15c5,855$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.131,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Kings3c5,673$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.51,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Kings22c5,584$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.122619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Kings25c5,562$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.8316635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Knicks79c5,256$4,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.6877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb470…ba61backed Kings10c4,988$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.824440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings18c4,423$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.142,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Knicks79c4,383$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.1589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Kings15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60039744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Kings14c3,572$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.089747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Kings29c3,358$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.5438046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Kings7c3,190$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21528616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Kings16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Kings16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006432.8%21 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Kings14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f8d…a19bbacked Kings14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings22c2,852$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.7450838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcea7…813ebacked Kings28c2,811$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac65…a9cdbacked Kings16c2,800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4481154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kings19c2,375$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.3585344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Kings17c2,353$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x916a…b479backed Kings6c2,350$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13070%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings14c2,342$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.073,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b0…f14ebacked Kings1c2,308$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Kings14c2,307$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32340041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Kings23c2,307$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.1318747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6a…2219backed Kings14c2,279$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3191136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Kings9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9835326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Kings16c2,221$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.6316130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…2561backed Kings4c2,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+139.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Kings14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008246.3%38 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Kings25c2,064$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51933632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Kings10c2,013$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2616439.6%65 W · 99 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings14c2,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Kings13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26031538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a4…86dabacked Kings16c1,933$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.239948.5%48 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Kings16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Kings16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017940.2%72 W · 107 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb10…8062backed Kings19c1,800$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33822034.1%75 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Knicks72c1,750$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49011344.2%50 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa0…09b4backed Kings19c1,739$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.021457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kings3c1,607$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.088783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Kings14c1,556$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8478445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings13c1,544$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.782,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings2c1,521$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5267911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bba…10a7backed Kings14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Kings30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Kings14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020728.5%59 W · 148 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Kings13c1,400$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dbc…0f5cbacked Kings7c1,359$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.343710.8%4 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kings18c1,346$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.1916440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Kings16c1,300$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.