NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda4e1d4af08e387dd9a983b3d5bd4f6c793f3fc413d0b70a14067ff526dab7c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 49c | 17,992$8,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,176.01 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 16,230$8,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,115 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 13,230$6,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,615 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 9,200$4,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 7,214$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.31 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 7,150$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 6,722$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,122$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 52c | 3,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 3,502$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.82 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 3,051$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.95 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 49c | 3,051$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.95 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…865ebacked Over | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 1,412$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 1,152$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.2 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 49c | 918.36$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.36 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 51c | 460$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 310$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 50c | 214.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 201$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 50c | 187.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Under | 49c | 101.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 49c | 96.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 71.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 52c | 69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…4fd2backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 68.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 65.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 51c | 59.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…5004backed Over | 51c | 23.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Under | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Kings won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Kings won
- Kings vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Kings vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Kings vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Miles McBride: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
- Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Zach LaVine: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.