TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Kings47c90,000$42,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,299.999043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Knicks53c76,000$40,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,719.9440446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Kings47c30,000$14,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,122.544841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks52c18,361$9,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,826.071,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c81…842ebacked Knicks53c15,094$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,094.34850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Kings49c10,298$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks53c10,284$5,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,782.792,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks53c8,013$4,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,792.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Kings51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.9746145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks52c6,220$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.332,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Kings46c5,831$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.2120849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Knicks53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.3838750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Knicks49c5,510$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.249246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c97…3c8cbacked Kings51c4,800$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks49c4,038$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.54,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb194…7ac3backed Kings47c3,945$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks52c3,890$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ec…e46bbacked Knicks49c3,614$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.14475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4660…32e7backed Kings47c3,413$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Kings47c3,399$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.4148546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe54f…b245backed Knicks49c3,313$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…f242backed Knicks49c3,285$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.35450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa29f…3b18backed Kings51c3,285$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6912…9750backed Knicks49c3,221$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee7…069dbacked Knicks49c3,100$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf613…457bbacked Knicks49c3,013$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.634100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8780…e5e9backed Kings51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4daa…67e0backed Kings51c2,919$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2666…0c9dbacked Knicks49c2,733$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aae…f789backed Knicks49c2,689$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Knicks53c2,642$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.5132150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Knicks37c2,615$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.1128554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ecc…fe21backed Knicks49c2,600$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7639…c336backed Knicks49c2,574$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a2…0159backed Kings51c2,550$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5827…9f23backed Knicks49c2,548$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437c…1842backed Knicks49c2,534$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf9…52fdbacked Knicks49c2,525$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d2…b9c4backed Knicks49c2,522$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c49…4678backed Knicks49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fe…60abbacked Knicks49c2,499$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.49683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+63.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0bc…29babacked Knicks49c2,495$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11fb…7d27backed Knicks49c2,483$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7d5…38b9backed Knicks49c2,466$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings58c2,457$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.622,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9089…0003backed Knicks49c2,418$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ea…3b45backed Knicks49c2,400$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks29c2,369$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3d…14d9backed Knicks49c2,366$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b7…42e8backed Kings51c2,350$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x173c…ad43backed Kings51c2,315$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f66…89abbacked Kings51c2,312$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.12650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd792…6bb9backed Kings51c2,244$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb315…40f3backed Kings51c2,212$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdea9…19d2backed Knicks49c2,188$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31a…31d0backed Knicks49c2,150$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f1…d157backed Kings51c2,150$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Kings47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…6e92backed Kings51c2,121$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebbb…3309backed Knicks49c2,121$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.71450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc001…780fbacked Knicks49c2,110$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacd2…a21dbacked Knicks49c2,106$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x710a…a5d8backed Knicks49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf95…eb74backed Knicks49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcebf…0706backed Knicks49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…e792backed Knicks49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…e970backed Kings51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-57.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0394…20e9backed Kings51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf88d…796dbacked Kings51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dca…6bdcbacked Kings51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd234…90b0backed Knicks49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb482…e3ecbacked Knicks49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c41…02e2backed Kings51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e9a…5ecebacked Knicks49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43dc…2353backed Kings51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee5…a49abacked Kings51c2,088$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f4…3a45backed Kings51c2,057$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.07425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe3…d6e1backed Kings51c2,053$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7d…0f9dbacked Kings51c2,034$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.34450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd07…aa5ebacked Kings51c2,022$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25aa…403abacked Kings51c2,015$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.65450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03d9…fe29backed Kings51c2,012$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe806…2562backed Kings51c2,002$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Knicks50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde19…8e43backed Knicks49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d30…c94fbacked Kings51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb204…1af2backed Kings51c1,900$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Knicks53c1,826$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.416254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4964…bf8ebacked Kings51c1,795$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9f…64f7backed Knicks49c1,780$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faa…c2abbacked Kings51c1,700$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Knicks53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75242648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa96…072ebacked Knicks49c1,600$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kings63c1,544$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9e…7445backed Kings51c1,526$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c90…a1bfbacked Kings51c1,424$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.2440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf474…8ad1backed Kings51c1,422$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.2230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb22…ec95backed Kings51c1,320$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18de…e76bbacked Kings51c1,313$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.6340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddd5…cbd4backed Kings51c1,300$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66340%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.