TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,437 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over38c96,431$36,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,643.854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under62c75,000$46,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,50051844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under62c20,002$12,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,600.9740446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c7,251$3,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.521,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.9920849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over51c5,759$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.8813239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5294…f9b7backed Under48c5,562$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c5,449$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,591.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda2…4db2backed Under48c5,355$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.65100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7819…34c9backed Under48c5,308$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,760.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60c…30f0backed Under48c5,273$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…bd70backed Under48c5,271$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Over49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b2…76a3backed Over52c4,900$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,548250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over42c4,841$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.1814346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7c…7342backed Over52c4,730$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec5…a105backed Over52c4,600$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb204…1af2backed Over52c3,979$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.0840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe381…b53bbacked Over52c3,900$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02850%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a7a…c9abbacked Over52c3,810$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe868…885bbacked Under48c3,560$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a98…06a9backed Under48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under51c3,389$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.5638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb0…9fe4backed Under48c3,212$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8780…e5e9backed Over52c3,158$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.1640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d6d…da6ebacked Under48c3,131$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9e…7445backed Under48c3,014$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c3…ee1dbacked Under48c2,899$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…f242backed Over52c2,855$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa29f…3b18backed Under48c2,855$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f8…aff4backed Over52c2,760$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e9…fc94backed Over52c2,650$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc86…6e03backed Under48c2,574$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7d…0f9dbacked Under48c2,574$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.48450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1234…640bbacked Over52c2,574$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2b…a347backed Under48c2,567$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.84450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd07…aa5ebacked Under48c2,563$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6f…b50cbacked Over52c2,563$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a47…2963backed Under48c2,555$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55aa…7106backed Over52c2,554$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed56…3e62backed Over52c2,542$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8840…a438backed Under48c2,542$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.84450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0a…d229backed Under48c2,536$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc84d…9701backed Over52c2,536$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x084f…d7fdbacked Over52c2,534$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03d9…fe29backed Under48c2,534$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361d…2c0bbacked Under48c2,533$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8982…291fbacked Over52c2,533$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe3…d6e1backed Under48c2,533$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…5a11backed Under48c2,529$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2cf…d438backed Under48c2,524$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb191…43bdbacked Over52c2,524$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0351…0be4backed Under48c2,515$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f4a…259bbacked Under48c2,401$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacd2…a21dbacked Over52c2,316$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9917…6e80backed Over52c2,300$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19660%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x86a2…0159backed Under48c2,300$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4624…e15abacked Under48c2,220$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdea9…19d2backed Over52c2,217$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1576…d1d5backed Under48c2,202$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under60c2,189$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.823,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc001…780fbacked Over52c2,121$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b2b…481cbacked Under48c2,063$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5827…9f23backed Over52c2,056$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d2…b9c4backed Over52c2,053$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85a7…3f89backed Over52c2,053$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c2…5160backed Under48c2,052$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b1…d674backed Over52c2,052$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdeb2…4150backed Over52c2,044$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…1842backed Over52c2,043$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb54…c3e1backed Under48c2,041$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f4…3a45backed Over52c2,038$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b9…15f8backed Over52c2,036$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d6…aceebacked Under48c2,029$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7639…c336backed Over52c2,014$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aae…f789backed Over52c2,012$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f62…ee83backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ea6…3cabbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa30c…b2cdbacked Over52c1,995$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4687…10dcbacked Under48c1,950$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd4e…961ebacked Over52c1,943$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa46…9a17backed Over52c1,929$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabc6…cb90backed Under48c1,900$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b5…23e8backed Over52c1,900$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x207b…3cc2backed Under48c1,900$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6190…c70fbacked Under48c1,850$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd567…9adbbacked Over52c1,847$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d46…ab82backed Over52c1,836$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2666…0c9dbacked Over52c1,788$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0703…1d1ebacked Over52c1,782$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec0…c47fbacked Under48c1,730$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc68c…3ed2backed Over52c1,720$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727c…911abacked Over52c1,704$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab9…c0d6backed Over52c1,695$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aed…cc7fbacked Over52c1,630$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377b…6aa0backed Over52c1,616$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.3240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c90…a1bfbacked Over52c1,606$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.1240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb423…b630backed Under48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a09…ea5ebacked Under48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.