NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbc97cdd419c0021e65d2b2cc6269e16f38dc8639800ad8c4911f84590665f72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 8,627$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.29 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 8,292$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 60c | 6,061$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.62 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 45c | 1,907$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.86 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 44c | 712.24$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.49 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 609.2$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 469.72$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 52c | 213.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Over | 16c | 199$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 43c | 151.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Under | 53c | 126.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…e00fbacked Over | 42c | 119$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 106.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…4ab2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 50.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 54c | 43.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Over | 44c | 28.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 28.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Kings won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Kings won
- Kings vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Kings vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Kings vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Miles McBride: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
- Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Zach LaVine: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.