TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08c5…43edbacked Knicks52c29,428$15,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,192.1844352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Knicks49c16,301$7,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,313.4240446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Kings50c11,000$5,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,449.9946145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Knicks50c6,989$3,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,494.6939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Knicks51c6,788$3,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,326.3513239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings50c6,092$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.964,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Kings51c5,686$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks50c5,103$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.482,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Kings51c4,293$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.2442648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks50c4,249$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.381,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Kings50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Kings49c3,331$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.9765750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Kings50c3,111$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.199952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings49c2,962$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.492,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings52c2,192$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.913,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings49c2,176$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings47c2,127$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.014,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Kings51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Kings50c1,879$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.526949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd56d…bd7dbacked Kings49c1,800$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8828647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Knicks51c1,753$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.9424450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Kings51c1,460$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks33c1,451$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Knicks51c1,408$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9137747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings51c1,000$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks51c942$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.582,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Knicks51c799.99$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3929430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings48c799.98$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.453,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Kings50c696$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34817344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks50c576$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2883,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Knicks50c554.36$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1859347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Knicks52c539$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7223946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings52c425.48$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.255,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks49c349$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.993,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Kings52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Knicks48c288.46$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Kings49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Knicks52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611955.5%66 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Kings46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210445.2%47 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Knicks52c140$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7919350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kings49c129.17$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.292,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Knicks29c128$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1712737%47 W · 80 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ceb…7011backed Kings51c115.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks50c103.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.533,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings54c100.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Kings50c100.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Kings53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Knicks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507538.7%29 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7631…9cc3backed Kings51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f7e…719fbacked Kings51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Knicks52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1517545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b9…d090backed Kings51c88.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Knicks52c81.26$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.335747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2b…0308backed Kings51c70.59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Knicks49c69.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3118043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Kings49c67.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dde…b1aebacked Knicks52c64.78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.293218.8%6 W · 26 L-8.1wins-0.25per pick44cpaid-56.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Knicks52c64.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1345651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Knicks51c64.28$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.511241.1%46 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x203d…e00fbacked Kings49c63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.874533.3%15 W · 30 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Kings50c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.561,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Kings51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Knicks52c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.441251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Kings49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257458.1%43 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Kings51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Kings51c47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.851,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Knicks52c45.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1510953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Kings50c42.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1113850%69 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Kings50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1715758%91 W · 66 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Knicks50c32.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9113945.3%63 W · 76 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Knicks51c31.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6653043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44b0…2a3fbacked Knicks51c29.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.56634.8%23 W · 43 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Kings51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511848.3%57 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Knicks52c28.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5631155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e65…d9f0backed Knicks60c24.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Knicks50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1066732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ed…09dabacked Kings51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28151.9%42 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.