MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28ab5099976f1243fcd1eeb1e7b89f02711788480f876c66b21d123a9cb973dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Pirates, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $567,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $755,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 602 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Orioles | 59c | 169,424$99,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,464.04 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 41c | 153,543$62,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,963.82 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Orioles | 68c | 34,988$23,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,151.76 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Orioles | 71c | 21,870$15,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,407.32 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Orioles | 58c | 19,830$11,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,328.43 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Pirates | 41c | 18,811$7,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,712.42 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 42c | 12,061$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,065.2 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Pirates | 42c | 10,795$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,533.89 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Orioles | 58c | 5,932$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…d4f3backed Pirates | 41c | 5,468$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 28c | 5,385$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.08 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Pirates | 42c | 5,012$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.02 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 41c | 4,543$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.53 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Orioles | 55c | 4,280$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.9 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Orioles | 58c | 3,709$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.78 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 39c | 3,490$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.7 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 29c | 3,204$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.71 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 34c | 3,016$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.76 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked Orioles | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…cd82backed Pirates | 41c | 2,443$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pirates | 22c | 1,894$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.14 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Pirates | 14c | 1,434$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 57c | 1,366$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.53 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Orioles | 66c | 1,349$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.63 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 58c | 1,290$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.82 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Orioles | 78c | 1,285$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.28 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 37c | 1,174$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.16 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…528abacked Pirates | 41c | 1,170$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pirates | 30c | 1,164$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.22 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 59c | 1,111$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.51 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 42c | 1,079$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.71 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8c…550fbacked Pirates | 42c | 1,040$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…949abacked Orioles | 58c | 1,036$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 31c | 1,030$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.26 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Pirates | 43c | 1,025$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.77 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b3…8e12backed Orioles | 58c | 1,014$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…20e3backed Pirates | 42c | 1,010$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Pirates | 43c | 975$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.25 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Orioles | 57c | 972$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.96 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…f1f1backed Orioles | 61c | 958.01$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 42c | 952$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Orioles | 59c | 926.8$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 56c | 887.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.72 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Pirates | 36c | 832.42$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Orioles | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Pirates | 43c | 776.28$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Orioles | 77c | 713.83$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.76 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Pirates | 20c | 709$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.42 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Orioles | 52c | 629.9$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.95 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 42c | 610.02$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.21 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Orioles | 62c | 600.65$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.26 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Orioles | 50c | 590.64$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.32 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Orioles | 58c | 540.18$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 65c | 508.46$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 41c | 500.05$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.02 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…24f8backed Pirates | 42c | 500$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 42c | 499.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…bfc1backed Pirates | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Pirates | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Orioles | 59c | 476.17$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.23 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pirates | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Pirates | 20c | 450$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 57c | 448.54$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.87 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa5…be51backed Pirates | 42c | 428.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…f49bbacked Orioles | 59c | 428.56$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Orioles | 58c | 385.33$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.84 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 43c | 383.22$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Pirates | 42c | 366$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Orioles | 58c | 353.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…a37ebacked Orioles | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Orioles | 59c | 328.69$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.76 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 43c | 324.42$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 37c | 314.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Pirates | 44c | 312.87$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Orioles | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Orioles | 64c | 278.56$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Pirates | 30c | 274.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 42c | 265.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.29 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bd…1b9ebacked Pirates | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Orioles | 59c | 259.32$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Pirates | 11c | 253.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Orioles | 58c | 252$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Orioles | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Pirates | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Orioles | 58c | 234.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Pirates | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Pirates | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Pirates | 32c | 232.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 59c | 232.2$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Pirates | 43c | 232$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Pirates | 52c | 229.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 61c | 229$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Pirates | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Orioles | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Orioles | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Oriolesthis page
- Pirates vs. Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Orioles (-1.5)Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.