TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Giants, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,160,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,190,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,160,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants40c623,791$248,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248,890.8438043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Dodgers60c180,000$108,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,00013246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers64c123,230$79,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,105.791,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers60c113,807$68,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,522.8244456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers60c83,434$50,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,051.081,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers60c65,825$39,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,33025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers62c45,325$28,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,223.971,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Dodgers64c43,595$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,594.452951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Giants29c30,820$8,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,972.7514648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Giants40c24,570$9,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,83314055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Dodgers61c19,643$11,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,735.121,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Giants39c15,074$5,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,861.0460249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Giants35c14,031$4,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,910.721,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers60c13,220$7,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,28830255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Giants41c12,475$5,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,075.179135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dodgers59c11,186$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,586.443949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Giants22c11,071$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.631,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants28c8,700$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.579,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Giants31c7,543$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.4478445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dodgers60c7,500$4,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,01554048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers67c7,358$4,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.882,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers60c7,094$4,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,813.856451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Giants39c7,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.9734245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers60c6,659$4,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.772,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Dodgers61c6,265$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.2731254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked Dodgers61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3401963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Giants37c5,597$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.3320747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Dodgers67c5,381$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.859759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Giants24c4,670$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.0654941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa737…cc88backed Giants39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Giants22c3,505$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.1538751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438f…28fabacked Dodgers61c3,336$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.075756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x029b…1f75backed Giants40c3,335$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.81973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Dodgers74c3,194$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.176,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Dodgers73c3,130$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.5415650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Giants24c3,114$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74717136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers61c2,776$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.5363152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56bb…8e6bbacked Dodgers64c2,659$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.094047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Dodgers60c2,479$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.311,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb7…63afbacked Giants43c2,335$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Dodgers57c2,211$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.7116945%76 W · 93 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Giants36c2,105$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.211544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9bf…baecbacked Giants39c2,100$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Giants37c2,000$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.0310940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Dodgers61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7808562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Dodgers61c1,988$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.346544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Dodgers61c1,905$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dodgers60c1,872$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.9931145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants30c1,600$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.434,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Giants39c1,596$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.639349.5%46 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9718…fa5dbacked Giants39c1,558$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.622744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Giants41c1,550$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.53748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Giants20c1,362$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.633020%6 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Dodgers60c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3323060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Dodgers61c1,173$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.475451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Dodgers60c1,134$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.9373149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0e…1461backed Dodgers61c1,046$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.941764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc2…8b96backed Giants40c962.5$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Giants39c887.86$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9918449.5%91 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Dodgers58c868.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.972630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers62c812.38$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.691,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Giants40c799.95$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9850843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Giants40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002931%9 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Giants37c700$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25924040.8%98 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Dodgers61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7417045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Giants12c633.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.931,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Giants40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Giants39c623.98$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3525551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Giants40c618.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.612436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x284e…c695backed Giants26c610.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers60c609.71$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.891,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23442452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Dodgers61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2348852.3%46 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a3…1901backed Dodgers60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Dodgers60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Giants35c594.92$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9433137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f25…8ca8backed Giants44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdae…74b2backed Dodgers55c547.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants16c530.27$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0395930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Giants38c530.11$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4451347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Giants40c520$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Giants39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Dodgers61c508.2$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.225548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Dodgers59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Dodgers59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cc…de2dbacked Giants40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants39c499.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Dodgers61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.810451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa550…3885backed Giants39c491$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.495238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Dodgers65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5416148.4%78 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Dodgers67c455.71$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Giants30c429.5$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.961,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Dodgers66c427.64$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0740352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants39c420.94$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3770841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Dodgers61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8421242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers61c402$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.781,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Dodgers60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Giants38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.