NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Magic

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdbd5ccfa1ddad6795bb805081bc734d4777310a088c19dc94ae1a169ba23f41

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Bucks, Magic
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,972,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,112,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,972,737 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 927 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8764…604abacked Bucks	22c	592,159$129,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129,853.65	72	66.7%48 W · 24 L	+14.6wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+47%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Magic	79c	129,143$101,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,517.64	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Magic	78c	113,571$88,655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,915.71	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Magic	79c	82,034$64,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,067.85	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Magic	79c	63,596$50,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,424.49	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks	22c	50,057$11,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,012.5	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Magic	77c	50,000$38,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,500	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Bucks	23c	46,221$10,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,630.94	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bucks	22c	42,546$9,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,360.18	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bucks	20c	40,111$8,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,022.23	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	+12.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Bucks	21c	40,000$8,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,299.9	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Magic	78c	39,388$30,736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,652.54	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd39…ddcfbacked Magic	78c	35,668$27,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,846.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Magic	77c	34,999$26,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,049.76	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Magic	77c	34,747$26,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,078.45	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic	78c	32,743$25,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,210.74	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Magic	77c	31,236$24,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,184.28	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f7…b2e9backed Magic	78c	30,275$23,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,660.53	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Bucks	23c	30,020$6,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,804.58	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Magic	79c	30,000$23,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,200	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks	21c	27,935$5,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,962.12	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Bucks	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks	20c	24,731$4,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,888.17	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Magic	77c	24,554$18,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,647.52	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Magic	77c	24,534$18,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,635.93	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Magic	78c	23,500$18,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,170	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic	78c	23,259$18,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,040.09	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Magic	79c	21,530$17,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,521.4	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Magic	77c	21,340$16,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,908.28	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Magic	79c	21,270$16,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,454	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Bucks	1c	20,822$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.2	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Bucks	20c	20,010$4,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,002	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Bucks	21c	20,000$4,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,198.86	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Magic	77c	20,000$15,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,600	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Bucks	22c	20,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,399.99	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bucks	5c	15,444$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.43	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic	77c	15,000$11,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,450	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x642f…d742backed Bucks	22c	14,000$3,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,079.98	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d6…d1e3backed Bucks	20c	13,743$2,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,805	199	49.7%99 W · 100 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Magic	78c	13,554$10,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,981.98	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3022…3794backed Magic	79c	13,478$10,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,830.48	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d93…d67abacked Magic	79c	12,333$9,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,589.86	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	67cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Magic	79c	11,657$9,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,447.94	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e8…da11backed Bucks	21c	11,450$2,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,397	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Magic	79c	11,050$8,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,339.5	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Magic	77c	11,001$8,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,530.3	174	54%94 W · 80 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Bucks	22c	11,000$2,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,419.98	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Magic	78c	11,000$8,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,419.98	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks	0c	10,584$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.85	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Bucks	19c	10,480$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	117	37.6%44 W · 73 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Magic	80c	10,340$8,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,068	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Magic	79c	10,095$7,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,117.59	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Magic	77c	10,000$7,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Magic	79c	10,000$7,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,100	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Magic	80c	10,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Magic	79c	10,000$7,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,100	219	51.1%112 W · 107 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Magic	77c	9,914$7,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,285.7	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks	1c	9,559$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.92	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Magic	80c	9,520$7,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,914.4	92	60.9%56 W · 36 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Bucks	22c	9,200$2,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,024	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Magic	78c	9,200$7,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,023.96	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Magic	77c	8,850$6,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,035.4	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Bucks	22c	8,478$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Bucks	20c	7,800$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	337	35.3%119 W · 218 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bucks	22c	7,503$1,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,615.65	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks	1c	7,273$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.73	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Magic	78c	7,169$5,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,577.23	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks	20c	7,107$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456.11	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Magic	79c	7,043$5,534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,508.89	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Magic	80c	6,564$5,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,338.44	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks	1c	6,427$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.27	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Magic	78c	6,396$4,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,396.95	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks	28c	6,208$1,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,742.87	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks	22c	6,063$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,313.43	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Magic	79c	6,000$4,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Bucks	21c	5,581$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180.39	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Magic	80c	5,220$4,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,044	176	53.4%94 W · 82 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Bucks	19c	5,078$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.79	79	43%34 W · 45 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7791…af80backed Bucks	22c	5,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Magic	79c	5,000$3,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Bucks	25c	4,999$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.75	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Magic	78c	4,983$3,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,096.27	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Magic	77c	4,836$3,714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,121.77	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa098…aa4abacked Bucks	22c	4,617$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	37cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic	76c	4,551$3,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,095.97	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked Magic	77c	4,545$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.45	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Magic	79c	4,439$3,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$932.19	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ba…7f3cbacked Bucks	19c	4,400$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.99	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.22per pick	53cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Bucks	19c	4,396$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.21	98	28.6%28 W · 70 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks	0c	4,317$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Bucks	9c	4,251$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.04	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Bucks	22c	4,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Magic	78c	4,000$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic	77c	4,000$3,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Magic	78c	4,000$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880	386	49.7%192 W · 194 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Magic	79c	3,855$3,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.55	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Bucks	20c	3,750$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Magic	78c	3,641$2,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.03	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Bucks	20c	3,517$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709.9	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Bucks	6c	3,264$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.46	69	24.6%17 W · 52 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bucks vs. Magicthis page
1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Bucks won
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 12.5No won
Bucks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineBucks won
Bucks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
Bucks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Under won
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Under won
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Under won
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Under won
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 15.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5No won
Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bucks vs. Magic

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event