NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94d5453b02bca5d5e918fc5a776e16b7b4623552467411d7f5a0a27e7d552955
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $928,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $927,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $928,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 47c | 576,793$271,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305,700.33 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks | 53c | 350,000$185,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185,500 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bucks | 54c | 150,000$81,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,999.96 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bucks | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,999.99 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 46c | 59,306$27,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,025.01 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Magic | 49c | 19,388$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,887.76 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Magic | 49c | 19,388$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,887.76 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 53c | 18,799$9,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,983.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Magic | 46c | 18,600$8,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,043.89 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks | 55c | 13,636$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks | 50c | 13,356$6,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,678.14 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks | 53c | 12,436$6,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,591.08 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 51c | 11,979$6,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,087.24 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Bucks | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.97 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Magic | 46c | 8,634$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,634.45 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…7d64backed Magic | 49c | 8,271$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,218.43 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Bucks | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Magic | 47c | 7,234$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.04 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Bucks | 54c | 7,200$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.18 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 50c | 6,745$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Bucks | 53c | 6,648$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.56 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Magic | 46c | 6,643$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.2 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 52c | 6,427$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.06 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bucks | 51c | 6,300$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212.98 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Magic | 49c | 5,510$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.2 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Magic | 47c | 5,307$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.28 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Magic | 47c | 5,213$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.77 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Magic | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 46c | 4,985$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.96 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Magic | 50c | 4,344$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Magic | 48c | 4,169$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.75 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Magic | 46c | 4,101$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.44 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Magic | 51c | 4,037$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.26 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Bucks | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Magic | 47c | 3,338$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.3 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Magic | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bucks | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Magic | 49c | 2,680$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.59 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Bucks | 49c | 2,036$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.61 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 47c | 2,010$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Magic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bucks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 48c | 1,966$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.95 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 45c | 1,914$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.3 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Magic | 49c | 1,630$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.91 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 45c | 1,555$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…4183backed Bucks | 54c | 1,519$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Magic | 47c | 1,413$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.77 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 51c | 1,410$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.4 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 47c | 1,211$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Magic | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Bucks | 52c | 999.95$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.97 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Magic | 46c | 815.63$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.13 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Bucks | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Bucks | 54c | 764.81$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…c6adbacked Bucks | 54c | 729$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.06 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Magic | 51c | 672$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Bucks | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…2275backed Bucks | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…93ccbacked Bucks | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Bucks | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks | 59c | 561.8$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.04 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Bucks | 54c | 556$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Bucks | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Bucks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Magic | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Magic | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Bucks | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 49c | 397.61$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Magic | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Bucks | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Bucks | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Bucks | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Bucks | 53c | 279.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Bucks | 54c | 274.81$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Bucks | 52c | 261.54$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bucks | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucks | 49c | 230.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Bucks | 54c | 209.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bucks | 51c | 209$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Magic | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Bucks | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…d5a6backed Magic | 50c | 200.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Magic | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Bucks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ff…5311backed Bucks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Bucks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Magic | 49c | 187.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…0fc0backed Bucks | 53c | 185$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Bucks | 52c | 169$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Bucks | 54c | 167.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Bucks | 54c | 167.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 49c | 151.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…f92cbacked Bucks | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Magic | 51c | 137$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Bucks won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Bucks vs. MagicMagic won
- Bucks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Under won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.