NBA · resolved market

Spread: Magic (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe83b08dcece5b56f9dfc087f6da87cc306af1414211a9c9f01382398dd8fc40b

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Magic, Bucks
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $153,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $157,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,772 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc660…bd28backed Bucks	49c	23,005$11,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,272.23	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Magic	53c	17,843$9,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,342.34	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks	50c	16,320$8,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,089.66	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	49c	15,072$7,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,396.37	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Magic	51c	10,623$5,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,205.31	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Magic	50c	10,078$5,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,038.96	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Magic	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,803.92	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks	49c	7,465$3,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,658.03	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf52b…e873backed Bucks	46c	7,065$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,249.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Bucks	47c	6,383$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.98	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks	49c	6,000$2,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,909.99	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Magic	51c	5,647$2,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,767.05	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	46c	5,593$2,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,584.59	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Magic	55c	4,096$2,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,842.99	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Magic	52c	4,040$2,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,949.6	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Magic	53c	3,962$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,862.26	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Bucks	52c	3,892$2,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,019.36	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Magic	51c	3,316$1,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,624.69	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic	52c	3,042$1,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,472.32	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Magic	51c	2,750$1,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,347.5	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2679…0001backed Magic	54c	2,600$1,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,196	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Magic	50c	2,579$1,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,277.73	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Magic	50c	2,539$1,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280.84	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Bucks	49c	2,449$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e84…a182backed Magic	54c	2,400$1,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,104	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic	51c	2,352$1,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,160.03	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bucks	47c	2,236$1,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.92	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed9b…d42bbacked Magic	54c	2,065$1,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$949.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Magic	48c	2,034$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055.31	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks	55c	1,678$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.54	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Magic	51c	1,633$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.17	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Magic	51c	1,633$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.17	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	51c	1,519$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.34	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Bucks	47c	1,480$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.39	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks	41c	1,368$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.01	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Magic	49c	1,213$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.27	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic	48c	1,167$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.84	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Magic	53c	1,121$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.9	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Magic	47c	1,100$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.33	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic	52c	1,059$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508.32	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks	48c	1,025$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.82	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bucks	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic	48c	986.17$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.81	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Magic	52c	911$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.28	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Bucks	51c	872.94$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.2	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Bucks	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Bucks	49c	600$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Magic	53c	563.66$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.92	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bucks	48c	545.5$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.89	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Bucks	48c	500.22$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.74	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Magic	56c	500$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	78	62.8%49 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Magic	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Magic	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Magic	55c	440$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Bucks	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	514	51.9%267 W · 247 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Magic	53c	400$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Magic	51c	394.85$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.6	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb93d…f0c4backed Magic	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	30	76.7%23 W · 7 L	+8.8wins	+0.29per pick	47cpaid	+69.9%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Bucks	50c	384.44$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.22	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Bucks	47c	319.15$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	184	56%103 W · 81 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic	55c	300$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Magic	53c	300$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.25	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Bucks	46c	299.99$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.37	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Magic	49c	290.76$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.59	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Magic	52c	232.62$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.66	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Magic	57c	211.23$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.23	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bucks	5c	210.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Magic	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Magic	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Magic	74c	197.52$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.88	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Bucks	50c	193$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.5	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Bucks	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Magic	55c	161.02$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.46	213	57.7%123 W · 90 L	+10.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Magic	48c	156.85$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.45	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Bucks	51c	143$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.93	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Bucks	44c	143$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.92	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Bucks	47c	127.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	213	52.1%111 W · 102 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Bucks	45c	120.84$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.38	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Bucks	52c	115.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	178	45.5%81 W · 97 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Bucks	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	455	42.4%193 W · 262 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Bucks	47c	100.01$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.21	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6644…1d11backed Bucks	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f95…70a9backed Magic	49c	99.49$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.74	61	65.6%40 W · 21 L	+7.9wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks	43c	92.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.63	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Bucks	47c	83.48$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.14	150	40%60 W · 90 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Bucks	49c	81.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.01	336	53.9%181 W · 155 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Magic	52c	80.54$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.04	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Magic	51c	80$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.2	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Magic	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.05	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…c7e6backed Magic	78c	75$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.15	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Bucks	46c	74.06$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64f1…fc6ebacked Bucks	56c	71.37$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.67	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Magic	57c	70.18$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	384	53.4%205 W · 179 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucks	37c	65.87$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.14	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Bucks	50c	64.25$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.03	143	52.4%75 W · 68 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Bucks	47c	60.03$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.15	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53fe…5f0bbacked Magic	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bucks	45c	55.12$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Magic	50c	53.74$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.87	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Bucks	47c	53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Magic (-9.5)this page
1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Bucks won
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 12.5No won
Bucks vs. MagicMagic won
Bucks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineBucks won
Bucks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
Bucks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Under won
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Under won
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Under won
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Under won
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 15.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5No won
Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Magic (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event