TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c12,711$6,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,603.079,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over53c6,600$3,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,497.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over49c6,277$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105.123135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over52c5,139$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,672.161,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c3,997$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.61,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under52c3,837$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.0412855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c3,252$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c2,167$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.23,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06018747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c1,563$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81350754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f08…8803backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd9c…c1e1backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28d5…e466backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x793f…036dbacked Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1809…bdb0backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9da2…bbaabacked Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x455a…65cfbacked Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaba…79d2backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xafda…0959backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f4…b77ebacked Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x279b…d292backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e9…774abacked Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xffe2…8c10backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4bd…a49abacked Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d84…45aabacked Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc9e7…a4f4backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4d…33c7backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4104…8956backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x00db…04acbacked Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4bf8…831abacked Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x208f…e0aabacked Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dbe…3accbacked Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0596…ee1ebacked Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x87ed…f9d0backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d70…f1f0backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x022b…1ae7backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5846…c364backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f71…35c9backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9b…4c81backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8271…87ebbacked Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…0a96backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x159b…0ad9backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3296…c1c7backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x957a…1b6cbacked Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e2f…d349backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x353f…c178backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46aa…9d2bbacked Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…7ef6backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ed…d792backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a00…6ec7backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbc96…d579backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5363…8bcebacked Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db0…05f6backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd706…556abacked Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf4e…4b34backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x88a7…519ebacked Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe92c…e769backed Over49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6494…4a33backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe4a4…2ac6backed Under51c1,465$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6075…09d0backed Under51c1,165$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Over51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5614362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Under50c990.2$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.16357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under53c771.81$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.8119359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over49c754.06$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.493,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over30c563$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.93,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under47c530.33$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0752052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c499.53$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.513,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Under48c261.22$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8410641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.535942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over53c222$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.661,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under49c206.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.124553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd97…776cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c201.61$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9624946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under55c103.77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.713,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0452951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4742551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4741354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Over53c99.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.793330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c87.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.82,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over53c65.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6676250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over46c63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1928243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67855.1%43 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under49c56.6$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8723047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over55c53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.241048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x592d…644abacked Under49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2647948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91f0…cc29backed Under51c49.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under52c46.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1510048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1855…f911backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under51c39.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.391,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.