TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Royals vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Royalsof Royals, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels46c43,804$20,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,099.161,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Royals80c41,347$32,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,460.861,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Angels45c22,874$10,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,293.477651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Angels11c17,627$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.378445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Royals54c12,888$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,928.4830255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Royals54c12,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5208861.4%54 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Angels48c11,673$5,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,598.7573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Angels20c11,347$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.667341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Royals55c10,950$6,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,927.513065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9af…6371backed Royals55c10,167$5,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,575.272045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Royals53c7,023$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,301.0226949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Royals53c6,860$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.0856451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Angels38c6,450$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.369249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x343c…741dbacked Angels47c6,380$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.64744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x930d…1dd8backed Royals53c5,718$3,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,687.462347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels15c5,483$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.211,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Angels13c5,466$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.451,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Angels9c5,214$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.416,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals52c5,102$2,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.4263152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals54c4,444$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.221,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Angels12c4,110$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.1254941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Angels47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels11c3,952$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.439,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Angels46c3,800$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.513247.7%63 W · 69 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Angels29c3,753$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.3938751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Angels12c2,940$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.0896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Royals55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.2724154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Royals55c2,391$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.0111257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Royals67c2,356$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.392759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels46c2,345$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.7238043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals54c2,311$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.882,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Royals53c2,228$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.311,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked Royals70c2,218$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.976755.2%37 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Angels29c2,035$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003941%16 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7784…5b6dbacked Royals52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9605752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Angels47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9405455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Angels3c1,873$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.461,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Angels9c1,647$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.82313%3 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Angels13c1,580$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.511838.1%45 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels17c1,565$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.234,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Royals55c1,180$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5311,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Royals54c1,101$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.930151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Royals57c1,085$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.7346239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Angels32c1,027$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.944436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Royals52c1,008$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.8420748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Royals50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Angels46c996.55$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.4111947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Royals54c993.19$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.879757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5836…767cbacked Angels51c965$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Angels48c832.93$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Angels13c799.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015749.7%78 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Angels47c796.25$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.2422142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Royals51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3126055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Angels18c782.82$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2460052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Angels4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Royals79c701.66$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0168769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Royals51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3431,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels46c670.37$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.3743949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Angels46c603.54$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.631,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Royals55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b7…e360backed Angels19c600$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Angels47c588.58$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27525548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Angels48c587.48$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9951347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed Angels16c582.82$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Royals52c576$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.481,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Royals70c564$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.223060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Angels47c513.11$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1663052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0adb…7693backed Angels4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-80.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Angels6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Royals51c499.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Angels47c499.95$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.981,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Angels12c437.85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2810527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089d…c7c9backed Angels14c385$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7110713.1%14 W · 93 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Royals54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels16c355.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5170841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Angels8c333.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2817244.8%77 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc5…16f6backed Royals50c333$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc3…c791backed Royals50c323$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa066…ed2bbacked Royals50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Angels46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13866751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Royals73c297.9$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.436747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Angels18c282.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2131547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…e407backed Angels46c275.28$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.633633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x707b…c1a6backed Royals55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.73988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+81.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5db3…e657backed Royals78c260.58$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.331770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f0…564cbacked Angels16c252.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf0…3251backed Angels46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Angels24c238.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.38,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Royals54c224.48$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2631254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb252…41bdbacked Angels50c220.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06d…bac0backed Angels50c217.6$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Angels49c215.23$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.461,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f6…701fbacked Royals51c214.55$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c59…ad51backed Angels47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021545.6%98 W · 117 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Angels10c211.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9283.6%1 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-91.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d3f…a565backed Royals51c211.76$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Angels47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.77758.4%45 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…8f6cbacked Angels50c207.5$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…57c2backed Royals51c206.63$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.