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NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,266,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,833,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,266,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5350…2fdabacked Spurs27c441,912$119,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,316.3312147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder73c399,374$291,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,830.9347848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Spurs27c236,164$63,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,285.1954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Spurs30c169,141$50,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,742.2537539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Spurs27c144,898$39,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,605.3216848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder70c142,413$100,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,255.631,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs29c139,674$41,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,064.872,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs1c125,636$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.361,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder72c109,999$79,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,799.859653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Thunder73c98,150$71,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,990.171,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs30c95,336$28,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,668.72,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs30c93,374$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Thunder73c80,000$58,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,299.9719751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Spurs28c77,141$21,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,63810746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Thunder71c67,514$47,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,728.81,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Thunder73c64,154$46,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,492.816358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder72c63,558$45,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,048.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Spurs28c60,592$17,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,191.8147028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs9c58,246$5,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,470.581,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Thunder73c56,375$41,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,221.3217646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf267…e0e1backed Spurs31c49,441$15,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,338.79944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs8c48,730$4,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,116.384,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder72c45,487$32,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,942.9447751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Thunder73c44,400$32,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,98811653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder71c43,233$30,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,366.254,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder70c40,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,00066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Spurs3c40,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10027917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Spurs28c40,000$11,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,049.9920551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Spurs26c40,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9751844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Thunder73c37,127$27,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,957.275,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder73c37,000$27,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,9901,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs3c36,178$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.9381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9285…749ebacked Spurs28c35,536$10,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,083.915541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Thunder72c35,000$25,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,828.026540%26 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Thunder74c35,000$25,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,1005253.8%28 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Thunder73c33,188$24,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,963.0713063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Thunder74c33,099$24,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,552.299857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Thunder73c32,828$23,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,883.4671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Thunder71c31,780$22,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,117.42,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Thunder73c31,090$22,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,394.211,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Thunder70c30,146$21,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,145.3420352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Spurs25c30,015$7,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,503.8310239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Spurs27c30,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,10019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Spurs27c30,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,099.9931445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs4c29,745$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.321,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs22c28,773$6,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,348.731,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Thunder71c28,307$20,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,274.8938148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Spurs26c27,450$7,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,005.210947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Thunder73c25,000$18,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,75015841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs30c23,930$7,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,178.920454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Spurs30c23,724$7,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,040.0627247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Thunder70c23,386$16,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,970.9825546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Thunder72c23,140$16,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,462.858961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder72c21,288$15,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,030.962,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Spurs3c20,740$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.259646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc3…9ab5backed Spurs28c20,203$5,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,656.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs30c20,195$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,10025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs10c20,040$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.981,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Spurs10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00083039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Spurs27c20,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Thunder70c19,898$13,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,010.5636741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs30c19,046$5,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,672.1185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Thunder69c18,035$12,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,504.022166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder70c17,706$12,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,364.993,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Thunder72c17,557$12,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,898.1123256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Thunder70c16,893$11,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,104.342,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82f…460dbacked Spurs31c16,790$5,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,204.81020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-65.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Spurs0c15,954$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.55213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Spurs27c15,216$4,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,102.3628742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Thunder73c15,192$11,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,101.9428554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Thunder74c15,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Spurs26c15,000$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.9914244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Spurs19c14,912$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.299640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Spurs27c13,887$3,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,817.0435251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Thunder73c13,833$10,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,718.328649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Spurs29c13,786$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.0824831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Thunder70c13,513$9,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,016.2134654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6615…6fc3backed Spurs0c13,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Spurs27c12,874$3,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,468.2927424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Thunder70c12,704$8,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.9330947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Spurs16c12,028$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.141,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Spurs27c12,000$3,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,262.0461835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Spurs0c11,508$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.228820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd2…7a7fbacked Thunder74c11,493$8,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Thunder72c11,489$8,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Spurs31c11,290$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Spurs29c11,190$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.6340035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa31…c537backed Spurs29c11,000$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1901650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9af…8292backed Spurs28c10,634$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.28714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3873…c068backed Spurs29c10,366$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.3814537.9%55 W · 90 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Spurs27c10,308$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7607943%34 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Thunder74c10,162$7,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.3210255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs29c10,100$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9291,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Spurs30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Thunder70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Thunder69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.9835450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Spurs29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.9514245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e86…29abbacked Spurs28c9,643$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6751717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed Thunder73c9,250$6,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.574862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Spurs2c8,931$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8164517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.