NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99213416c3ea75caac626f0f505f5d1d8e610d4181283c3b7a5f57e099c72879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Thunder | 50c | 68,813$34,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,145.01 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 50c | 66,666$33,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,333 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Thunder | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.99 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Thunder | 50c | 24,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Spurs | 49c | 20,300$9,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,947 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Spurs | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Spurs | 50c | 17,009$8,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,504.4 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Spurs | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 47c | 10,629$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs | 49c | 10,309$5,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,051.39 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 49c | 9,364$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,806.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Spurs | 53c | 8,798$4,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,663 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Spurs | 49c | 7,904$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 48c | 7,158$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723.16 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Spurs | 50c | 6,390$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.03 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 49c | 6,001$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 5,930$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Spurs | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2f…6cadbacked Spurs | 49c | 5,157$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Spurs | 49c | 4,827$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.36 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Spurs | 52c | 3,853$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Spurs | 50c | 3,402$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.98 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Spurs | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…55b7backed Spurs | 49c | 3,279$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Spurs | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Spurs | 43c | 2,900$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,791$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.73 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Spurs | 49c | 2,552$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.48 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Spurs | 48c | 2,485$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.75 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…ed30backed Spurs | 54c | 2,437$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 47c | 2,408$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Spurs | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 48c | 2,213$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.7 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Spurs | 41c | 2,045$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.77 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,997$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.49 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 50c | 1,980$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…1b7dbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,833$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 52c | 1,761$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.08 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Spurs | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Spurs | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,345$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 51c | 1,138$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.43 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Spurs | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Spurs | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Thunder | 49c | 999.98$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.99 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 50c | 999$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Spurs | 51c | 983$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.46 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9174…9b2dbacked Thunder | 46c | 966$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Spurs | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed Spurs | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Thunder | 52c | 750$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Thunder | 52c | 720.39$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.79 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Spurs | 48c | 630$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Spurs | 52c | 561.45$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Thunder | 50c | 533$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff6…09bdbacked Spurs | 59c | 510.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 48c | 500$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.84 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Spurs | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Spurs | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Thunder | 45c | 499$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Thunder | 45c | 493.21$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.27 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Spurs | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…1d29backed Spurs | 49c | 455.59$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Spurs | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Spurs | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Spurs | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Spurs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Thunder | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c7…1554backed Spurs | 54c | 343$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…082bbacked Spurs | 54c | 321$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Thunder | 46c | 313.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.53 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Spurs | 53c | 313.21$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Spurs | 55c | 310$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Spurs | 51c | 303.75$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.91 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1935…559cbacked Spurs | 54c | 302$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Spurs | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Spurs | 49c | 282.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Spurs | 8c | 266.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…9175backed Spurs | 6c | 260.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Spurs | 51c | 258.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Spurs | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Spurs | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Spurs | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Thunder | 47c | 233.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.77 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Spurs | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Thunder | 45c | 221.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Spurs | 49c | 202.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Spurs | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Thunder | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Spurs | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.