NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ea5241d2e6ab81d2e96c686a36f775e8da24da5995903dc1ca02bc7474f9632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 55c | 17,656$9,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,028.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 58c | 16,771$9,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,991.66 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 47c | 16,629$7,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,798.65 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 56c | 14,193$7,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,307.83 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Spurs | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 47c | 10,849$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,053.89 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Thunder | 53c | 7,123$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.38 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Spurs | 41c | 6,585$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 45c | 5,205$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Spurs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Spurs | 3c | 4,950$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 43c | 4,082$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.66 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Spurs | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 55c | 2,757$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.43 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,610$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.94 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Thunder | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.93 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 43c | 1,819$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 40c | 1,800$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Spurs | 44c | 1,739$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.92 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Thunder | 56c | 1,507$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.56 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,329$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.15 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 56c | 1,150$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.98 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 45c | 952.16$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.98 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 58c | 892.34$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.78 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…55b7backed Spurs | 41c | 800$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Thunder | 57c | 711.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.88 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Thunder | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Spurs | 41c | 697.6$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.02 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 43c | 622.54$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 57c | 590$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.43 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Thunder | 54c | 549.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.99 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Spurs | 41c | 516.38$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 53c | 497$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Spurs | 44c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…66e2backed Spurs | 42c | 388.1$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 58c | 377.72$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.64 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Thunder | 58c | 375.05$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.3 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 46c | 349$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Spurs | 45c | 335$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Spurs | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Spurs | 41c | 247$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Thunder | 58c | 238.1$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Spurs | 47c | 232.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Spurs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 42c | 196.36$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Spurs | 24c | 195$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…e821backed Spurs | 44c | 188.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Thunder | 56c | 176.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…ecb7backed Thunder | 57c | 175.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Spurs | 48c | 161.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Spurs | 44c | 156.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Thunder | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Thunder | 53c | 145.18$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Spurs | 46c | 130.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spurs | 49c | 127.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Spurs | 43c | 112.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs | 41c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Spurs | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Thunder | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Thunder | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Spurs | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Spurs | 46c | 99.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Spurs | 42c | 98.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…44b3backed Thunder | 55c | 95.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs | 41c | 94.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec2…ab59backed Spurs | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Thunder | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Thunder | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2f…6cadbacked Spurs | 44c | 81.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Spurs | 42c | 80.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Spurs | 44c | 70.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Thunder | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Thunder | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Spurs | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Spurs | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Spurs | 49c | 58.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Spurs | 42c | 56.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Thunder | 57c | 55.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Spurs | 52c | 47.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Thunder | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Spurs | 47c | 43.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…6229backed Spurs | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Spurs | 32c | 41.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…7d56backed Thunder | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Thunder | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…d406backed Spurs | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Spurs | 42c | 35.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…e29dbacked Spurs | 46c | 30.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…82fcbacked Spurs | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b00…cfbdbacked Spurs | 46c | 25.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…f1f3backed Thunder | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.