NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x887d74da4d5f9d310099f490fb5928758718f37f3789a8f0c4d631c53d228908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.94 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Thunder | 52c | 45,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.99 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…8d3fbacked Spurs | 48c | 39,452$18,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,937.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Thunder | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.98 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 51c | 19,885$10,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,718.37 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Spurs | 49c | 17,000$8,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,279.99 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 51c | 16,397$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 52c | 11,426$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Spurs | 48c | 10,833$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Spurs | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Spurs | 44c | 9,545$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…e821backed Spurs | 48c | 8,896$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…7a59backed Spurs | 48c | 8,783$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 51c | 8,530$4,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Spurs | 5c | 8,016$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.78 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Spurs | 48c | 7,752$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 49c | 6,543$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 49c | 6,462$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Spurs | 44c | 5,658$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Spurs | 47c | 5,341$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 48c | 4,981$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Spurs | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Spurs | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…55b7backed Spurs | 48c | 3,999$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 53c | 3,584$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.51 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.98 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 45c | 2,900$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,900$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.97 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 50c | 2,892$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…ed30backed Spurs | 49c | 2,636$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 51c | 2,487$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.39 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Spurs | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Spurs | 46c | 2,197$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Thunder | 51c | 2,100$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Spurs | 44c | 2,039$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Spurs | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 51c | 1,959$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.13 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Thunder | 55c | 1,829$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.63 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Spurs | 44c | 1,791$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 54c | 1,666$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.36 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Spurs | 48c | 1,379$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.68 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.82 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Spurs | 44c | 1,273$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 49c | 1,256$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.78 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spurs | 45c | 1,200$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 50c | 1,114$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Thunder | 53c | 1,064$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.21 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,048$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.14 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Spurs | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 49c | 966.49$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Spurs | 52c | 964.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Spurs | 48c | 860.42$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Spurs | 47c | 712.77$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Spurs | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Thunder | 53c | 620.4$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.59 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Spurs | 47c | 600$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…1b0cbacked Thunder | 51c | 583$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Thunder | 55c | 517.22$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.84 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Spurs | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 53c | 489.21$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.34 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Thunder | 55c | 455$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Thunder | 55c | 455$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Spurs | 45c | 440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Spurs | 46c | 434.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Spurs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Thunder | 44c | 400$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.09 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Spurs | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Spurs | 47c | 397.02$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.57 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Thunder | 50c | 350.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Spurs | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Spurs | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Thunder | 53c | 310$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Thunder | 52c | 306.08$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.92 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Spurs | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Spurs | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Spurs | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Thunder | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Spurs | 45c | 268.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Spurs | 50c | 264.22$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Thunder | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Spurs | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 49c | 238.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Spurs | 47c | 227.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f4…6c2ebacked Spurs | 45c | 224.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 54c | 221$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Spurs | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Spurs | 46c | 216.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Spurs | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Spurs | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…b7dabacked Spurs | 51c | 197.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…9175backed Spurs | 37c | 189.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 50c | 171.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…0317backed Spurs | 45c | 160.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…638abacked Spurs | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Thunder | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Thunder | 50c | 134.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spurs | 31c | 114$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.