NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5b33336d8da60292b3da5159a45314df4f570d0a87a8bd8dc311b0bd7a34033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 29,037$14,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,792.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 49c | 21,000$10,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,710 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea6…03bebacked Under | 51c | 11,500$5,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,635 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…4e15backed Over | 49c | 11,400$5,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,586 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…8bd8backed Under | 49c | 5,612$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 4,073$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.47 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 3,996$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.82 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 3,479$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Under | 66c | 3,333$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 2,153$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.03 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 2,100$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.61 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 1,868$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.87 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 51c | 1,714$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.14 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 1,709$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.64 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 1,467$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.03 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 50c | 909.65$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.83 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 732.08$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.68 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 399.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 52c | 385.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 330$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 51c | 307$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 49c | 307$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 285.62$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 257.42$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 198$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 49c | 148.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…9b1bbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…aca1backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 53c | 54.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e93…8af8backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Over | 48c | 50.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 49.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 67c | 49.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 51c | 49.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 49c | 44.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 48c | 36.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…5848backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…2463backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5this page
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.